Ole Miss Football Preview | SEC Betting Odds and Predictions
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The Ole Miss football program has appeared in a New Year’s Six bowl game twice in the last three years. With Alabama welcoming a new coach and LSU replacing the Heisman-winning quarterback, the 2024-25 season will present another opportunity for the Rebels to take a step forward under Lane Kiffin.
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2024 Ole Miss Football Schedule
Date | Opponent | GoldSheet Line |
Aug 31 | vs Furman | -33 |
Sept 7 | vs Middle Tennessee | -36 |
Sept 14 | at Wake Forest | -21 |
Sept 21 | vs Georgia Southern | -33 |
Sept 28 | vs Kentucky | -14 |
Oct 5 | at South Carolina | -11 |
Oct 12 | at LSU | +2 |
Oct 19 | Bye | |
Oct 26 | vs Oklahoma | -6 |
Nov 2 | at Arkansas | -15 |
Nov 9 | vs Georgia | +8 |
Nov 16 | Bye | |
Nov 23 | at Florida | -9 |
Nov 30 | vs Mississippi State | -23 |
We project the Rebels to be favored in ten of their 12 games this season with games against LSU and Georgia as the exception. Ole Miss should get off to a comfortable start as the Rebels are projected to be a double-digit favorite in each of their first six games.
If given the opportunity, Coach Kiffin would probably like to position his bye weeks a little differently. The Rebels’ first bye week comes in Week 8, so Ole Miss will open the season with seven-straight games. Weeks 6 and 7 will take Hotty Toddy on a back-to-back road trip to South Carolina and Baton Rouge. Even with an easy introduction to the season, that mini stretch in early-October will provide some obstacles.
Ole Miss Football Betting Odds
National Championship | +1500 |
SEC Championship | +600 |
To Make the CFP | Yes -130 / No EV |
Season Win Total | 9.5 (o -115 / u -105) |
To Go Undefeated | Yes +650 / No -1200 |
Jaxson Dart Heisman | +1400 |
Odds above courtesy of DraftKings as of Friday, July 19. Using those prices from DraftKings, there does seem to be a “discount” on the Rebels’ regular season win total compared to the College Football Playoff price. If you are interested in backing Ole Miss this season, taking over 9.5 wins at -115 will likely be the better proposition compared to -130 to make the College Football Playoff.
We project Ole Miss to be a double-digit favorite in eight games this season in a very friendly schedule. Falling short of ten wins would probably keep the Rebels out of the College Football Playoff. Laying -130 to make the playoffs does not present much value when simply taking over 9.5 wins at -115 will likely take you down the same path.
Ole Miss Football Returning Production
Ole Miss is expected to return 13 starters from last year’s squad: Seven on offense and six on defense. According to ESPN’s Bill Connelly, the Rebels are projected to return 70-percent of their production from last season: 83-percent on offense and 57-percent on defense. Both coordinators will return to Oxford, creating plenty of continuity in the coaches’ booth this season.
The Rebels will welcome the No. 17 class of incoming talent (freshmen + transfers), per 247Sports. Former five-star defensive end Walter Nolen was considered the No. 3 transfer pickup in the country, arriving from Texas A&M. In addition to Nolen, Ole Miss picked up two more top-30 transfers in Princely Umanmielen from Florida and Antwane Wells Jr. from South Carolina.
Dart threw for 3,364 yards and 23 touchdowns last season, and put on a show against Penn State in the Peach Bowl (379 passing yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions). His production is going to have to improve on the road for Ole Miss to take another step forward this season. In the Rebels’ five road games last season, Dart was sacked a total of 16 times with four touchdown passes and four interceptions.
GoldSheet College Football Preview
The GoldSheet team has assembled a FREE 60-page college football guide to help you get ready for the 2024-25 NCAAF season. Did you enjoy this Ole Miss football preview? We’ve got plenty more where that came from. We break down every schedule from every team with projected point spreads, win probabilities and much more. Stay up-to-date on coaching moves, quarterback transfers and conference re-alignment with this complimentary download.
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NCAAF Team Previews
Here are the top-25 (actually, 27) teams in our opening power ratings for the 2024 college football season:
1) Georgia | T11) Missouri | T21) Arizona |
2) Ohio State | T11) Oklahoma | T21) USC |
3) Oregon | T11) Texas A&M | T23) Auburn |
4) Alabama | T14) Clemson | T23) Washington |
5) Texas | T14) Florida State | T23) Iowa State |
6) Penn State | 16) Tennessee | T23) TCU |
7) Michigan | 17) Kansas State | T23) Oklahoma State |
8) Ole Miss | T18) Louisville | |
9) Notre Dame | T18) Utah | |
10) LSU | T18) Miami (Fla) |
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalkβs live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the point spreads, moneylines, totals and betting percentages through every week of the college football season. Oh yeah, you can also find free college football picks and predictions!
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