UConn Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide

UConn Football Predictions & Preview 2023:

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down the Huskies chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on UConn football in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for UConn football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on the Huskies this season.

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UConn Football Preview 2023: UConn Picks for Betting

UConn did not play in 2020. They finished the Randy Edsall “error” 7-41, and beat only lowly UMass and three even lower-level teams since the middle of ’17. Jim Mora outperformed all expectations with six wins. The next step is to achieve win consistency.

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UConn Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH

UConn’s pass defense percentage. It was high last year, understandable as you can’t fix everything right away. With an easier schedule, I have the number at 61.5%. QB results could improve as well.

Their mobile starter hit 57.8%, but with just a 9-10 ratio. The OL returns four starters and the DL is intact. Players who garnered 24 of their 26 defensive sacks return. There’s lots of positives to build on.

UConn 2023 Predictions, UConn Schedule:

I show the ’23 schedule as decently easier. North Carolina State was out of their class a year ago, winning 41-10. This is the 1st game, and it’s also at home, so let’s see how far the program has come.

For whatever reason, host Georgia State has an early week off before hosting the Huskies. This may not be a guaranteed win.

Games 4-5 are home to Duke (no Duke schedule issues) and Utah State (good staff, stat sheet not as good). The goal is to split these games and go 2-0 hosting FIU and at Rice.

I expect 4-3 (or more?) prior to the game at Boston College. Pre-checks to this point will include QB play. Boston College seeks revenge for losing here a year ago.

I have no opinion on the game at James Madison, but as long as UConn is at least 4-6 after that game they can still reach six wins, with home games left vs. Sacred Heart and UMass.

UConn Football Bottom Line:

6-6, but maybe not as easy a 6-6 as people think for UConn football? 5-7 should absolutely be the floor, but I want to see better QB play and more than just “getting by” defensively before I go much higher.

Amazingly, UConn was 11.5 Power Rating points LOWER than 6-6 Army at season’s end. I just need to see additional growth early on, which is certainly possible.

UConn Football HANDICAPPING TIP:

Last year I was worried about the 2nd of back-to-back road games for this young team. They did lose both times in that role, but covered the spread.

I had no action last year (typical), but did fade them in the bowl loss. With solid returning depth, I may back them in one or more of their 1st two games, but I have no other opinions at this time.

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