Week 12 College Football Betting Trends and Angles | Betting with Ben Burns

College Football Week 12 Betting Preview

WagerTalk NCAAF handicapper Ben Burns offers analysis on games that just missed his College Football Week 12 betting card. Ben provides reasons why he was initially drawn toward a particular direction, and why he decided to pass at the end. Plus, the GoldSheet provides some College Football Week 12 betting trends.

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College Football Week 12 Betting Leans

Arkansas +2.5 vs Ole Miss – I left the Razorbacks out of last week’s column as I thought I was going to use them as an official play. I ended up kicking myself for not doing so, as they eked out a cover.

I like them again this week against Ole Miss but am wary of being “a day late and a dollar short.” That said, if the line climbs to +3 or better, I’m going to be awfully tempted.

Troy -15 vs UL-Monrioe – ULM shocked the Trojans last year. Troy was a 23.5-point favorite but lost by a score of 29-16. I’ve been waiting for the rematch ever since and so has Troy.

I don’t think much of this year’s Warhawks and I’m expecting a blowout. I’m a stickler for line value, though. If I can get a -14 before kickoff, I’ll be playing. Until then, I’m still on the fence.

Baylor +2.5 vs TCU – I have a feeling TCU loses for the first time this weekend. Last year’s game was decided by just two points with the Frogs winning 30-28. Ranked No. 12 at the time, the Bears were a 7.5-point favorite. They need this game and would love to avenge last year’s loss.

This season, TCU has obviously exceeded expectations. While the Bears are still the defending Big 12 champs, I think I’d like to be getting at least a field goal before going against a 10-0 team.

College Football Week 12 Betting Trends

Courtesy of The Football GoldSheet:

• The under is 9-1 in Colorado State’s games this season.
• The last four meetings between USC and UCLA have gone over the total.
• The under is 8-2 in Marshall’s games this season.
• Tennessee is 8-2 against the spread this year.
• Dating back to last season, Stanford is 2-15 against the spread in its last 17 games.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games.
• Cincinnati is 1-8-1 against the spread in its last ten road/neutral site games.
• Since the start of last season, Western Kentucky is 18-7 against the spread.
• The last eight meetings between Rutgers and Penn State have all stayed under the total.
• Georgia is 9-2 against the spread in its last 11 road/neutral site games.
• The under is 7-1 in Old Dominion’s last eight games.
• Notre Dame is 0-4 against the spread as a home favorite this season.

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Bet On It | College Football Week 12 Preview

In this week’s episode of Bet On It direct from Las Vegas: Kelly Stewart, Marco D’Angelo, Joe Raineri and Ralph Michaels break down College Football Week 12 from a sports betting perspective, sharing their NCAAF best bets and predictions for the biggest games on this weekend’s slate. Join Kelly, Marco, Joe and Ralph every Wednesday for Bet On It as we break down the college football card from a variety of betting angles.

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Meet the Author

As the most-popular handicapper in the two-decade history of Covers Experts, Ben Burns‘ reputation precedes him. Known for possessing an uncanny ability to consistently deliver with his biggest plays, Burns has numerous documented handicapping titles to his credit in all the major sports.

Ben burst onto the scene in the late 90’s. Though his hockey picks were always highly regarded, it was his remarkable success rate in the NFL which really made him famous. A perfect 10-0 record in the Super Bowl helped establish his “big game reputation.”

Over the years, Ben has seen it all. Win, lose or draw, he always works extremely hard and he always tells it like it is. He’s thrilled to be part of the WagerTalk team and looks forward to earning your trust one winner at a time.

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