West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Big 12 Picks and Predictions

West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Betting Preview

WagerTalk college football handicapper Tony Mejia offers his West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Big XII football betting preview for Saturday, November 6 at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia. At the time of posting, the Cowboys are a -3.5 road favorite at the Mountaineers with the total sitting at 49 points.

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West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Predictions

• West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys
• Total: 49 Points
• Oklahoma State has won and covered the spread in each of the last six meetings in this series.
• Oklahoma State has covered the spread in each of the Cowboys’ last five road games.

November’s primary goal for Oklahoma State is to sit down for a team Thanksgiving dinner knowing that Bedlam will be more than just the opportunity to spoil Oklahoma’s perfect season and derail their national title hopes. That would be nice too, but the Cowboys want to be playing for a championship of their own.

Not just the Big 12 one either.

Since the Cowboys opened at No. 11 and will get at least one crack at Oklahoma, if not two. Baylor is right behind them at No. 12 and get the Sooners first, so it’s conceivable that they could pull off an upset and set up a rematch with OSU, who they lost to in Stillwater on Oct. 2.

Between those three teams, the Big 12 has a chance to land a team in the College Football Playoff and Oklahoma State enters November with an opportunity to thrust itself into the national conversation. A 24-21 loss at Iowa State suffered on Oct. 23 is no dealbreaker and the minefield the Pokes must navigate between now at that Nov. 27 home date with the Sooners they’ve got circled is challenging enough to keep them climbing up the rankings as others fall.

TCU visits on Nov. 13 and Oklahoma State travels to Lubbock the following week, but the biggest obstacle will be this weekend’s visit to Morgantown, where surging West Virginia is out to notch its first three-game winning streak of the season as it attempts to get bowl eligible for the seventh time in eight seasons and the second time under head coach Neal Brown.

The Cowboys are on an upset alert but shouldn’t have a problem focusing on the Mountaineers. They’ve popped in that tape since Sunday in order to get ready for this contest and watched the one team they couldn’t beat get handled as 7.5-point road favorite.

After taking a quick first punch from ISU star back Breece Hall going 70 yards on his first carry, Brown’s Mountaineers settled in and traded punches with the Cyclones, who opened the season ranked in the Top 10. QB Jarret Doege, long considered a game manager, threw for 370 yards and three scores.

Leddie Brown, who takes a backseat to a number of backs in the Big 12 including Hall and Cowboys rushing leader Jaylen Warren, finished with 109 yards and two scores to keep the defense from getting after Doege. West Virginia took down TCU in Forth Worth on Oct. 23 too, so it is definitely playing its best football at the right time and has gotten to 4-4 with consecutive upsets. OSU head coach Mike Gundy has said they could be the best 4-4 team in the country. On one hand, that’s coach speak. However, it won’t be far off.

Last season’s meeting between these schools was played early in the season, serving as Game 2 and the conference opener for both. Oklahoma State won 27-13 as current Panthers RB Chuba Hubbard and LD Brown each cracked the 100-yard rushing mark to help backup QB Shane Illingworth pick up a home win. Gundy is expecting the most physical defense his team has seen to date, which is saying some thing since the Cowboys played consecutive games against Baylor, Texas and Iowa State.

Spencer Sanders is healthy enough to participate in this season’s matchup and has had a mediocre super sophomore season. Coming off a 55-3 rout of Kansas, the Cowboys are a 3/3.5-point chalk for this one, which now looks like the biggest obstacle between getting to Bedlam with a 10-1 record and falling short. Despite OSU throwing up a 55-spot against the Jayhawks last weekend and the Mountaineers winning a 38-31 shootout in which the teams basically traded touchdowns for four quarters, this game may settle into more of a defensive contest.

The Cowboys own the nation’s seventh stingiest defense in terms of yards allowed after holding Kansas without a third down conversion in last week’s rout. The Jayhawks didn’t convert a first down in the first half.

West Virginia should be far more formidable, particularly at home, but hasn’t beaten Oklahoma State in its last six tries. The last two matchups have finished 27-13 and 20-13, so Brown has been close and has been able to figure out Gundy’s high-octane attack despite the presence of numerous future pros. Although last week featured plenty of fireworks from these teams, the books have set this total at only 49. That’s a bit of a tell since it’s certainly a number designed to coax ‘over’ bets, particularly in the Big 12.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see this end up a tight, physical and competitive race to 24. Back the ‘under.’

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West Virginia vs Oklahoma State Analysis from The GoldSheet

Despite Oklahoma State scoring 55 points last week and the Mountaineers winning a 38-31 shootout in which the teams basically traded touchdowns for four quarters, this game may settle into more of a defensive contest. West Virginia hasn’t beaten Oklahoma State in its last six tries, but the last two matchups have finished 27-13 and 20-13. Despite last week’s fireworks from each team, these teams should produce a tighter affair on Saturday afternoon.

Best Damn College Football Show

WagerTalk’s trio of college football betting experts has returned for another season of The Best Damn College Football Show. Join Drew Martin, Rob Veno and Ralph Michaels as we preview the marquee matchups for Week 10 of the college football season, including Louisville vs Clemson; Alabama vs LSU; and Nebraska vs Ohio State.

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WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the College Football Week 10 moneylines, point spreads, first half lines and betting percentages, including this West Virginia vs Oklahoma State showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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