2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds and Predictions | Trump vs Biden or Harris
Are you looking for the latest betting odds for the 2024 presidential election? Get insights into the odds for Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Gavin Newsom, and more. Curious about how election odds are set and where the current bets are being placed? Join The Prez and Teddy Covers on this edition of WagerTalk Today as they welcome Dave Mason from BetOnline to discuss all this and answer viewer questions!
2024 Presidential Election Betting Preview
The 2024 Presidential Election is rapidly approaching, and the betting odds are generating significant interest.
These odds offer a glimpse into the public’s expectations and the potential outcomes of this pivotal election.
This article will explore the latest betting odds for key candidates, hypothetical match-ups, and state-specific predictions. Whether you’re a political enthusiast or a betting aficionado, this comprehensive guide will keep you informed and ready for the upcoming election.
Odds to Win the 2024 US Presidential Election
Donald Trump Sr.
- Odds: -250
- Analysis: Donald Trump remains the frontrunner, with odds indicating strong confidence in his chances of winning the presidency once again. His continued influence in the Republican Party and a dedicated voter base support these favorable odds.
Kamala Harris
- Odds: +325
- Analysis: Vice President Kamala Harris stands as a significant contender. Her odds reflect her potential to become the first female president, though she faces formidable competition.
Joe Biden
- Odds: +675
- Analysis: President Joe Biden’s odds suggest a challenging re-election campaign. While incumbency is an advantage, the public’s mixed opinions on his administration’s performance impact his chances.
Michelle Obama
- Odds: +2800
- Analysis: Former First Lady Michelle Obama is a popular figure with strong public appeal. However, her odds suggest she is an unlikely candidate, indicating more speculation than strong expectations of her candidacy.
Gavin Newsom
- Odds: +3300
- Analysis: California Governor Gavin Newsom’s odds reflect his potential but also highlight the significant challenges he would face in a national election.
Gretchen Whitmer
- Odds: +6600
- Analysis: Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has the highest odds among the listed candidates, pointing to a very slim chance of winning the presidency.
President – Hypothetical Match Up Odds For 2024 Election
Trump vs Biden
- Donald Trump Sr.: -300
- Joe Biden: +200
- Analysis: A repeat of the 2020 election shows Trump as the favored candidate, with Biden facing an uphill battle especially after his COVID diagnosis in July.
Trump vs Clinton
- Donald Trump Sr.: -200
- Hillary Clinton: +150
- Analysis: In a hypothetical rematch, Trump is favored, though Clinton remains a strong contender.
Trump vs Harris
- Donald Trump Sr.: -225
- Kamala Harris: +160
- Analysis: This match-up shows Trump as the likely victor, but Harris has considerable support.
Trump vs Newsom
- Donald Trump Sr.: -140
- Gavin Newsom: +100
- Analysis: A closer race, with Trump slightly favored over Newsom, reflecting a competitive contest.
Trump vs Obama
- Michelle Obama: -170
- Donald Trump Sr.: +130
- Analysis: In this scenario, Michelle Obama is favored, indicating her strong appeal despite her long-shot candidacy.
Trump vs Whitmer
- Donald Trump Sr.: -165
- Gretchen Whitmer: +125
- Analysis: Trump is favored over Whitmer, though the odds suggest a more competitive race than some other match-ups.
Electoral College Odds
Democrat Electoral College Votes
- Under 269.5 Votes: -275
- Over 269.5 Votes: +185
- Analysis: The odds favor Democrats receiving fewer than 269.5 electoral votes, indicating skepticism about their ability to secure a majority.
Republican Electoral College Votes
- Over 311.5 Votes: -125
- Under 311.5 Votes: -115
- Analysis: The odds slightly favor Republicans gaining more than 311.5 electoral votes, reflecting confidence in their electoral strategy and voter base.
State Betting Odds – President
Arizona
- Republicans: -400
- Democrats: +250
- Analysis: Republicans are heavily favored to win Arizona, reflecting strong support in the state.
Georgia
- Republicans: -800
- Democrats: NA
- Analysis: Republicans are strongly favored in Georgia, with no odds currently offered for Democrats, indicating a high level of confidence in a Republican victory.
Michigan
- Democrats: -120
- Republicans: -120
- Analysis: Michigan is a battleground state with both parties having equal odds, suggesting a highly competitive race.
Nevada
- Republicans: -350
- Democrats: +225
- Analysis: Republicans are favored in Nevada, though Democrats still have a significant chance.
Pennsylvania
- Republicans: -200
- Democrats: +150
- Analysis: Republicans are favored in Pennsylvania, but Democrats remain competitive.
Wisconsin
- Republicans: -190
- Democrats: +145
- Analysis: Republicans are slightly favored in Wisconsin, with Democrats closely trailing.
The 2024 Presidential Election betting odds provide a fascinating insight into the potential outcomes and public sentiment.
From leading candidates to hypothetical match-ups and state-specific predictions, these odds offer a glimpse into the future of American politics.
As the election approaches, these numbers will continue to evolve, reflecting the dynamic nature of the race.
2024 Presidential Election Betting – FAQs
1. What do the odds -250 mean for Donald Trump?
The odds -250 mean that you would need to bet $250 to win $100 if Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election.
2. How are betting odds for elections set?
Betting odds for elections are set based on various factors, including polls, political analysis, and betting activity. Bookmakers use this information to determine the likelihood of each outcome.
3. Can the betting odds change?
Yes, betting odds can change frequently based on new information, events, and betting patterns. It’s important to stay updated with the latest odds.
4. What does a +325 odd mean for Kamala Harris?
A +325 odd means that if you bet $100 on Kamala Harris to win the 2024 Presidential Election, you would win $325 if she is victorious.
5. Are these betting odds reliable indicators of election outcomes?
While betting odds provide insights, they are not guaranteed predictions. They reflect public sentiment and bookmaker analysis, which can change rapidly.
6. Why do hypothetical match-ups have different odds?
Hypothetical match-up odds vary based on the perceived strengths and weaknesses of the candidates involved. They reflect how bookmakers and the public view the potential outcomes of specific pairings.
Top Websites for Updated Polling Data
- FiveThirtyEight
- Link: FiveThirtyEight
- Description: A highly respected site offering detailed polling data, election forecasts, and in-depth political analysis.
- RealClearPolitics
- Link: RealClearPolitics
- Description: Provides a comprehensive aggregation of polling data from various sources, offering a clear picture of the political landscape.
- Pollster
- Link: Pollster
- Description: Offers detailed polling data and analysis on various political races, including the presidential election.
- The New York Times – Elections
- Link: NYT Elections
- Description: The New York Times provides extensive coverage of elections, including up-to-date polling data and expert analysis.