2022 RBC Heritage Betting Preview and Odds April 14-17
RBC Heritage Prediction and Odds
Cam Smith, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa and Jordan Spieth will make the trek from Augusta to Hilton Head. WagerTalk golf handicappers Nick Borrman and Andy Lang share their thoughts on this week’s RBC Heritage field.
Stay on top of the latest Golf updates direct from Las Vegas!
| 2022 RBC Heritage | PGA Tour Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | April 14 – April 17, 2022 |
| Where: | Harbour Town Golf Links at Hilton Head Island, South Carolina |
| Defending Champ: | Stewart Cink |
| Current Favorite: | Justin Thomas (+1000 at DraftKings) |
| TV: | Golf Channel on Thursday and Friday; CBS on Saturday and Sunday |
RBC Heritage Odds Board
Scottie Scheffler’s win at last week’s Masters makes it nine of 14 tournaments in 2022 that the winner was inside the top-10 in Total Strokes Gained over the last six months entering the week.
Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings)
Cam Smith +2.50 (+1600) DK
Justin Thomas +2.35 (+1300) FD
Patrick Cantlay +1.66 (+1700) FD
Collin Morikawa +1.65 (+1300) FD
Shane Lowry +1.64 (+2000) FD
Russell Henley +1.62 (+4000) FD
Sungjae Im +1.62 (+4000) DK
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1.58 (+2000) FD
Corey Conners +1.35 (+2600) FD
Billy Horschel +1.27 (+4200) FD
The Course: Harbour Town
So where do we look instead to try and predict this week? Well, this is a historically strong ‘horse for the course’ venue as players that have performed well here in the past, tend to do so year in and year out.
The biggest reason for that is the course knowledge of how to get around Harbour Town. It is not a long track, but with some of the smallest greens on Tour, knowing how to get into position to attack is key. Pebble Beach has the smallest greens on Tour, averaging 3,500 sq ft while Harbour Town is not far behind at 3,700 sq ft.
The rough is almost non-existent here, barely reaching one-inch in length in most places, so accuracy off the tee is not an important metric. Instead look for guys that are near the tops in Strokes Gained Approach, Greens in Regulation and Proximity to the Hole as those will likely be the deciding factors this week.
The RBC Heritage Field
From Nick Borrman: We’ve got a pretty strong field this week following the Masters with a plethora of guys making the short trip from Georgia to South Carolina including five of the Top-10 in the OWGR. However, reviewing the most recent results of this tournament, there seems to be no correlation to those that played at Augusta the week prior and those that had the week off in terms of predicting a winner or high finish at Harbour Town.
I’m looking at the best iron players this week and ignoring those that tend not to be the best putters. With such small greens, putting advantages tend to be lost while the importance of hitting the green is boosted.
Nick’s Picks
Collin Morikawa +1300 (FD) | Top-10 +150 (DK)
No player better fits the profile as a pure ball-striker and bad putter more than Morikawa (well save for maybe Zalatoris), but he has proven all it takes is having just a mediocre putting week is enough for him to win tournaments.
His number is far from sexy this week for a reason, coming off a very strong Sunday last week at Augusta, shooting 67 to finish solo fifth. He now has six finishes inside the top-7 in his last ten starts including a win at the DP World Tour Championship in November.
Once again, he is proving himself one of the best iron players on Tour ranking 20th in Strokes Gained Approach, 10th in Greens in Regulation and 5th in Proximity from the fairway. Most importantly, he ranks 31st in Strokes Gained Putting this year, just a slight improvement from his ranking of No. 178 last season! Morikawa also finished T7 here last year.
Corey Conners +2600 (FD) | Top-10 +250 (DK)
The only worry here is that this is his 4th straight week teeing it up but I guess he figures he is playing very well so why not keep it going. Conners has finished no worse than T35 in his last five starts including a T11 at the Players, third at the WGC Dell Match Play and T6 last week at the Masters.
He ranks No. 3 on Tour this year in Greens in Regulation, No. 7 Strokes Gained Off the Tee and No. 15 in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. His putting has left something to be desired at No. 104, but as I mentioned earlier, that metric probably doesn’t carry as much weight this week due to the small greens.
Conners missed the cut here in his first three starts, but he is a much different player now than he was back then. He has since finished T21 in 2020 and T4 here last year.
Sungjae Im Top-20 (+160) DK
Sungjae is as consistent as they come on Tour with just two missed cuts in 14 starts this year to go along with eight Top-20s including last week at the Masters, finishing T8 after sitting as the first-round leader.
Sungjae ranks No. 17 Strokes Gained Off the Tee, No. 12 Around the Green, and No. 14 Tee to Green. He also ranks No. 18 in Greens in Regulation, No. 4 in Scrambling and has the 13th best scoring average this season. In almost all areas, Im is a top-20 player on Tour so it makes sense to back him to finish top-20 in a field that is void of many of the top players in the world.
Interested in placing a bet on the 2022 RBC Heritage from Harbour Town Golf Links? BetMGM is offering a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.
Tee Time from Vegas | RBC Heritage Betting Preview
With most of the world’s top players taking off the week after the Masters, the RBC Heritage has traditionally produced some longshot winners. Who will lift the trophy at Hilton Head this weekend? On this episode of WagerTalk’s Tee Time from Vegas, golf handicappers Andy Lang and Nick Borrman share their thoughts on the guys at the top of the odds board, some potential longshots, and some intriguing head-to-head matchups at this week’s RBC Heritage in South Carolina.
**************************************************
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
