RBC Canadian Open Betting Odds and Predictions June 9-12
RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview
The PGA Tour heads north of the border for the first time in three years for this week’s RBC Canadian Open at St. George’s Golf and Country Club in Ontario. WagerTalk golf handicappers Nick Borrman and Andy Lang share their thoughts on this week’s event, with featured head-to-head matchups and some longshots that might crack the leaderboard.
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| 2022 RBC Canadian Open | PGA Tour Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | June 9-12, 2022 |
| Where: | St. George’s Golf and Country Club in Ontario, Canada |
| Defending Champ: | Rory McIlroy (In 2019…No Event in 2020 or 2021) |
| Current Favorite(s): | Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas (+700 at DraftKings) |
| TV: | Golf Channel on Thursday and Friday; CBS on Saturday and Sunday |
PGA Tour Rewind
It ended up being a rather boring Sunday at The Memorial as Billy Horschel had the tournament wrapped up before the final day, building a five-shot lead heading into the final round. What was the most surprising thing to see was that he was listed less than -200 to win before the final round teed off as apparently oddsmakers did not trust him to hold onto the lead.
Picking outright golf winners is hard. Not many people were on Billy Horschel at The Memorial Tournament with his two previous starts being a 68th-place finish at the PGA and a missed cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Horschel did not rank inside the top-10 in Strokes Gained coming into last week, but he wasn’t too far behind as he still ranked inside the top-20.
Memorial Tournament Odds Board
Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months:
[#1] Scottie Scheffler +2.66 (+900) Bet365
[#4] Cameron Smith +2.39 (+1200) Bet365
[#6] Justin Thomas +2.31 (+1000) Bet365
[#25] Shane Lowry +2.20 (+2000) Bet365
[#8] Rory McIlroy +2.10 (+1000) Bet365
[#17] Matthew Fitzpatrick +1.90 (+2000) Bet365
[#9] Sam Burns +1.62 (+1800) DK
[#24] Tyrrell Hatton +1.48 (+2800) Bet365
[#38] Harold Varner III +1.46 (+3500) Bet365
[#31] Corey Conners +1.44 (+2100) Bet365/DK
Notables
[#66] Chris Kirk +1.24 (+5000) DK
[#36] Patrick Reed +0.59 (+5000) DK
The RBC Canadian Open Course and Field
This is Canada’s national championship and much like the next week’s United States national championship (aka the US Open), the tournament shifts venues every year, but tends to return to the best courses and that is the case here as St George’s hosts for the 11th time in 111 years of this event. The last time the event was held here was 2010 in which Carl Pettersson won over Dean Wilson.
The best way to describe this week’s field is top heavy. Most of those that teed up last week at The Memorial Tournament are not playing this week, but they few that skipped last week are here including World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, reigning PGA Champion Justin Thomas, the defending champion Rory McIlroy, The Players champion Cameron Smith and three-time winner this year Sam Burns all ranking in the top-10 Official World Golf Rankings. Not bad for the week before the US Open.
However, from there, the list falls off quite a bit with only nine of the top-25 in the field and 12 of the top-50 as several of those in that second category are playing across the pond in the rivaled LIV Golf inaugural event.
St George’s is a par-70 stretching to just over 7,000 yards, which is short by PGA Tour standards. Course management is a must with greens averaging just 4,000 square feet, which to put in perspective, Pebble Beach is the smallest on Tour at 3,500 while each of the last two events at Muirfield and Colonial, both average around 5,000.
ough can reach as high as six inches so hitting fairways will be important and while putting is not likely to be a major factor as most will be unfamiliar with the greens which should level the playing field.
Finally, weather will be comfortable with forecasted highs about 70 degrees. Rain is probable for more than one day, which could make the course play softer, while winds are moderate averaging 10-15 mph all four days.
Nick’s Betting Favorites
From Nick Borrman: With the last edition coming in 2010, course history is not a factor this week. Instead, focus on tee-to-green specialists. Look out for one of my favorite angles which is a guy coming off a missed cut (ahem, Matthew Fitzpatrick or Justin Thomas) but perhaps avoid those that will be looking ahead to next week’s US Open (OK, now I’ve confused myself on Justin Thomas). Oh, and it is probably savvy to avoid the homefield advantage as no Canadian has won this event since 1954.
Shane Lowry +2000 (Bet365) | Top-10 +225 (Bet365)
Call me a glutton for punishment, but here we go again. Last week was a ‘down week’ as Lowry broke his streak of 11-straight top-25s finishing T32 at The Memorial. But in this top-heavy, watered-down field, I expect him in contention on Sunday. Lowry has been one of the most consistent players in the world over the last six months finishing inside the top-14 in nine of his last 12 tournaments.
I mentioned how important ball-striking is this week and Lowry has been great as he sits No. 11 in Strokes Gained Approach thanks to ranking No. 2 in proximity to the hole. When he misses, few players are better as Lowry ranks No. 1 in scrambling and No. 8 in sand saves. All of which leads to the sixth-best scoring average on Tour this season.
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 (Bet365) | Top-10 +225 (Bet365)
I loved Fitzpatrick last week at The Memorial, but now I love him even more this week after his missed cut. That seems odd to say, but it’s not very often you see a player rank second in the field in Strokes Gained tee-to-green, yet fail to make the weekend. He ranked dead last in Strokes Gained putting, which can be volatile week-to-week as he still ranks a respectable No. 32 on the season.
While it’s now three missed cuts in this last 12 starts, when Fitzpatrick makes the weekend, he is in contention with all nine finishes inside the top-14 including seven in the top-10.
Fitzpatrick’s Strokes Gained numbers are impressive, ranking No. 11 off the tee, No. 8 around the green and No. 3 tee-to-green which all lead to him being No. 1 in Total Strokes Gained this season with the fourth-best scoring average.
BEST BET Brendan Todd Top-40 +110 (DK)
I missed my best bet on Matt Kuchar top-40 last week by one shot, but this week I’m looking at the super accurate Brendan Todd. Todd ranks No. 5 on Tour in driving accuracy and is year in and year out one of the best putters on tour, ranking No. 6 this year and No. 8 last year. He also has a very strong short game ranking No. 12 in scrambling.
Todd has been playing some solid golf finishing inside the top-40 in four of his last six starts including a solo third in his last start at the Charles Schwab Challenge, while also ranking No. 15 in this field in Total Strokes Gained over the last two months.
Interested in placing a bet on this week’s RBC Canadian Open? BetMGM is offering a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet for first-time bettors in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana, Colorado, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Washington DC, Wyoming, Mississippi, Arizona and Louisiana.
Tee Time from Vegas | RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview
When was the last time golf made this many global headlines and Tiger Woods wasn’t involved? On this episode of WagerTalk’s Tee Time from Vegas, golf handicappers Andy Lang and Nick Borrman share their thoughts on this week’s events in Canada and London, including the favorites at the top of the leaderboard and some featured head-to-head matchups.
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