RBC Heritage Predictions, Expert Betting Picks and Odds April 13-16

RBC Heritage Betting Preview

Sportsmemo golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the RBC Heritage teeing off from Harbor Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the RBC Heritage this week!

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RBC Heritage	PGA Tour Betting Notes
When:	April 13-16
Where:	Harbor Town Golf Links Hilton Head, South Carolina
Defending Champ:	Jordan Spieth
Current Favorite:	Scottie Scheffler (+850 at DraftKings)
TV:	GOLF Network & CBS

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RBC Heritage Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings)
Jon Rahm +3.16 (+900)
Scottie Scheffler +2.77 (+800)
Patrick Cantlay +2.40 (+1200)
Tony Finau +2.24 (+2900)
Xander Schauffele +2.18 (+2600)
Viktor Hovland +1.93 (+2200)
Cameron Young +193 (+2200)
Collin Morikawa +1.92 (+2000)
Max Homa +1.74 (+3100)
Tyrrell Hatton +1.60 (+4500)

RBC Heritage Course and Field – Harbor Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina

From Nick Borrman:

In its usual scheduling spot, the RBC Heritage follows the first major of the year, and just a two-hour drive away in Hilton Head, SC.

However, this event is generally skipped by most of the big names and especially those that contended at Augusta (often late WDs), but this time around, the designated event status has certainly changed that.

Of the qualifiers, only Rory McIlroy, Jason Day and Will Zalatoris (who had season-ending back surgery) will not tee it up this week.

Otherwise, the field is headlined by newly crowned Masters champion Jon Rahm who makes only his 2nd start here, while Scottie Scheffler comes in as a tournament debutant.

On that note, there will certainly be discrepancy in the field between those that play this event regularly and those that are only here because of its designated status. If course history is important to you this week, do with that what you will.

Harbor Town is a par-71 track measuring close to 7,200 yards and features the smallest greens on TOUR. Because of that, this course rewards course management and placing yourself in the correct position off the tee to give the best angle into the greens.

Although distance is rarely a disadvantage, it is certainly not a prerequisite with short ball hitters Jim Furyk and Webb Simpson as just a few examples of past winners here.

For those that do have experience on this track, there are only a few minor changes around the venue as an intermediate cut of rough has been added along fairways.

In the past, rough was not longer than one inch, but this year, rough has been overseeded and could push 2.5 – 3” in length, of course with a six-foot intermediate cut buffer before the primary cut.

Weather looks like it could be an issue on Friday with thunderstorms in the forecast, so it might not be a bad idea to wait a little closer to Thursday to get a better forecast with the potential of a more favorable draw. Otherwise, do it like I do and fire away early in the week to get the best of the number!

RBC Heritage Predictions

While it’s not a major, the designated event fields have certainly played that way and the best in the world have risen to the top by end of the day Sunday.

In six designated stroke play events this season only Kurt Kitayama serves as an outlier. The other five have been won by Jon Rahm or Scottie Scheffler.

Outright Winner

Patrick Cantlay +1200 (FanDuel or BetMGM)

It’s very difficult not to just take Rahm and Scheffler and let one of them cash your ticket this week, but with very limited, or no experience, respectively, from those two, I think it’s worth a look a little past them.

Spieth is defending champion, but admitted he is exhausted after the Masters which leads to Cantlay as the likely next best option.

Cantlay missed the cut here in 2021 but has finished inside the Top-7 in his other four starts at Harbor Town with two 3rd place finishes and a runner-up last year losing to Spieth in a playoff.

He faded on Sunday at the Masters with a closing 75 to finish T14 but has been putting himself in contention a ton over the last year.

Since last year’s RBC Heritage, Cantlay has finished inside the Top-20 in 17 of 21 starts including 12 Top-10s and two wins (one was the partner’s Zurich event).

Cantlay missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open but has otherwise finished inside the Top-20 in all the other six designated events this season. He will be in the thick of it again on Sunday.

Leaderboard Finish

Matt Kuchar Top-10 +475 | Top-20 +220 (Bet365)

While there may be a lot of fatigue this week at the top of the oddsboard coming off the Masters, that will not be the case for the ‘young’ Matt Kuchar who comes in rested and in good form with Top-10s in four of this last eight starts.

Being a designated event with such a deep field, I’ll play him in the Top-20 market to give us a little extra room to cash.

I don’t think there is anyone in the field with more experience at this event than Kooooch who is making his 17th straight start here and 19th overall.

He has never missed the cut at Harbor Town and has finished inside the Top-20 ten times including seven Top-10s and a win back in 2014.

Kuchar ranks 15th on TOUR this year in Total SG, 17th Tee to Green and 1st in Scrambling which is likely to be a big factor and probably a big reason for his success here over the years as Harbor Town has the smallest greens on TOUR, meaning everyone will be missing greens this week.

Favorites to Fade

Jon Rahm

OK, I admittedly chose him as my ‘favorite to fade’ last week and that didn’t work out so well, but I’ll go back to the well on him again this week.

While I’m certainly not betting him to miss the cut, nobody would blame him for a down week coming off the emotions of a Masters win.

Of course, his fiery nature probably won’t let him have a ‘down week’ but if there is any week that makes sense to avoid backing him, this is probably it.

See you next week at the Zurich Classic!

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