Ryder Cup Predictions, Free Picks and Odds Sept 29-Oct 1
Ryder Cup Betting Preview
WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Ryder Cup teeing off from Marco Simone Golf and Country Club in Rome, Italy. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Ryder Cup starting September 29!
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| Ryder Cup | Ryder Cup Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | September 29 – October 1 |
| Where: | Marco Simone Golf and Country Club in Rome, Italy |
| Defending Champ: | Europe |
| Current Favorite: | Europe (+100 at DraftKings) |
| TV: | USA & NBC |
Ryder Cup Odds Board
Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel , DraftKings and others)
Ryder Cup Betting Preview
The Ryder Cup is one of the most exciting and fun events of the year, although it only happens every other year (opposite of the less-exciting, often lopsided, President’s Cup).
From a betting perspective, this week is a totally different animal as we focus on daily matchups. While form is still something to pay attention to, the formats that are being played along with team chemistry often trump pure golf talent.
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2023 Ryder Cup Rosters
OWGR Ranking, appearances and records
USA | Captain: Zach Johnson
International | Captain: Luke Donald
#1 Scottie Scheffler | 2nd (2-0-1) / USA
#2 Rory McIlroy | 7th (12-12-4)
#3 Jon Rahm | 3rd (4-3-1)
#4 Viktor Hovland | 2nd (0-3-2)
#5 Patrick Cantlay | 2nd (3-0-1) / USA
#6 Xander Schauffele | 2nd (3-1-0)
#7 Max Homa | Rookie / USA
#8 Matthew Fitzpatrick | 3rd (0-5-0)
#9 Brian Harman | Rookie / USA
#10 Wyndham Clark | Rookie / USA
#11 Tyrrell Hatton 3rd | (2-4-1)
#12 Jordan Spieth | 5th (8-7-3) / USA
#14 Tommy Fleetwood | 3rd (4-2-2)
#15 Brooks Koepka | 4th (6-5-1) / USA
#19 Collin Morikawa | 2nd (3-0-1) / USA
#20 Sam Burns | Rookie / USA
#22 Sepp Straka | Rookie
#24 Justin Thomas | 3rd (6-2-1) / USA
#25 Rickie Fowler | 5th (3-7-5) / USA
#34 Shane Lowry | 2nd (1-2-0)
#36 Justin Rose | 6th (13-8-2)
#55 Robert McIntyre | Rookie
#80 Ludvig Aberg | Rookie
#81 Nicolai Hojgaard | Rookie
At first look, USA has the better top-to-bottom list of players, at least in terms of World Ranking, but don’t be fooled, it doesn’t necessarily mean they have the best list of players in current form.
Both teams will be fielding four rookies this year, while the US Team does return the core of players from their 2021 record-setting 19-9 triumph at Whistling Straits.
Europe boasts the most experienced players in the event as this will be the 7th appearance for Rory McIlroy and the 6th for Justin Rose, while team US has Jordan Spieth and Rickie Fowler each making their 5th appearance.
The Course & Field – Marco Simeone Golf & Country Club (Rome, Italy)
From Nick Borrman:
Although not technically in Rome, the Club sits just 10 miles outside the ancient city and is a relative newcomer to the professional scene.
It was built in 1989 and was redesigned beginning in 2018 and finishing in 2020 after it had been awarded the Ryder Cup. The redesign was led by European Golf Design along with Tom Fazio II and was created with match play in mind.
The course is a par-71 and measures just short of 7,200 yards and presents several risk-reward holes as there are three drivable par-4s along with three par 5s, all reachable.
Four of those come into play in the final eight holes which will certainly provide fireworks in the latter stages of matches.
Team Europe has the local knowledge advantage as players have a total of 11 starts at the Italian Open, which features on the DP World Tour, including two past winners in Robert McIntyre (2022) and Nicolai Hojgaard (2021). No one from Team USA has played in competition here though the guys will have a full three days of preparation this week.
The course features a total of 115 feet of elevation change from its highest point to lowest point so there will certainly be some tired legs this week and is a big reason why I don’t think either captain will start anyone in all five sessions.
Ryder Cup Format
Eric Cole +3500 (DraftKings)
Friday (4) Foursomes matches (alternate shot) followed by (4) Four-ball matches (better ball)
Saturday (4) Foursomes matches followed by (4) Four-ball matches
Sunday | (12) Singles matches
Remember, as this is being played in Europe, time to watch in the U.S. is early as action tees off at 1:35am ET both on Friday and Saturday and 5:35am on Sunday.
Ryder Cup Winner Prediction
Team Europe +100 (DraftKings)
It’s hard to want to bet against team USA considering how much they dominated two years ago in Wisconsin winning by a record-setting 10 points but considering they have not won the Ryder Cup in Europe since 1993, which was also the last time the successfully defended, so there is a lot of history against them this week.
I would also argue Team Europe is peaking at the right time. Viktor Hovland is coming in off the back of his FedexCup win, Tommy Fleetwood and Tyrrell Hatton are both playing great, Rory is Rory, and heck, even Ludvig Aberg is hot with three straight Top-10s including a win.
For team USA, the last player with a win is Brian Harman at the Open Championship, though match play and playing in teams is a much different animal than winning a four-day tournament.
Finally, captain Luke Donald also made a strategic change this year scheduling foursomes first on opening day.
Traditionally four-ball is the first session in the morning, but Team Europe believe they are the better foursomes team and are simply looking to get off to a fast start. That move could be just what is needed to build some confidence and eventually win the Ryder Cup.
Ryder Cup Top Points Scorer
Xander Schauffele +1200 (FanDuel)
This is sort of a ‘hedge’ against Team Europe to Win the Ryder Cup, but both could still cash. Xander is all but certain to be paired with Cantlay this week and with their past records, they should be in line to earn some points. The duo paired together and both the 2019 and 2022 President’s Cup as well as the 2021 Ryder Cup.
They have a perfect 5-0-0 foursomes record combined in both President’s Cup and Ryder Cup and could very well be the first match out on Friday morning as Team USA will look to get out to a fast start in a response to the obvious format change by Team Europe.
They duo has also won the Zurich Classic together in the only TOUR event with partners.
Both players are level-headed and complement one another very well. Both players are great with irons, but Cantlay has better Off the Tee numbers while Schauffele is the better putter.
Cantlay ranks 3rd in this field of 24 in SG Off the Tee over the last 12 months while Schauffele ranks 2nd in SG Putting.
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