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Wyndham Championship Predictions, Best Bets, Free Picks and Odds August 8-11

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WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Wyndham Championship teeing off from Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC! Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, a long shot to win and other expert picks surrounding the Wyndham Championship teeing off on August 8th!

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Wyndham ChampionshipWyndham Championship Betting Notes
When:August 8-11
Where:Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC
Defending Champ:Lucas Glover
Current Favorite:Sungjae Im (+1200 at DraftKings)
TV:Golf Channel, CBS

Wyndham Championship Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuelDraftKings and others)

Wyndham Championship 2024 Odds

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Normally we end with the weather, but we need to start with it this week as the remnants of Hurricane Debby will likely wreak havoc on the tournament making a Monday finish a real possibility.

The storm is expected to reach the Carolinas as early as Wednesday, with washout potential in place for Thursday and Friday.

The storm will also produce gusty winds from 20-30 mph, but that may only matter if the players are actually on the course.

Like we saw earlier this season, another possibility is the event being shortened to less than 72-holes, though with the literal playoffs on the line, that would be a difficult decision to make. The sun likely won’t be seen until Sunday.

Sedgefield CC is a Donald Ross design, stock par 70, meaning only two par 5s, that measures just over 7,100 yards.

Not long by Tour standards but with as much rain as there is expected to be, it will likely play longer with very soft conditions expected. Green speeds normally run on the faster side here, but again, mother nature will likely have an impact and keep them from reaching their full potential.

The winner at Sedgefield has reached 20-under par in eight of the last nine years as most approach shots come from 175 yards or less with roughly 40% coming from under 150 yards, leaving wedges in hand for most of the field.

That also negates the need to be long off the tee, though again with this week’s conditions, that may prove a little less true this year.

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Past winner’s profiles also fit this mold with shorter hitters Brandt Snedeker, J.T. Poston, Kevin Kisner and Tom Kim all finding victory here.

Additionally, players like Russell Henley and Si Woo Kim have had several good results. All those players lack distance off the tee but are very accurate and are great iron players. Having the ability to get red hot with the putter doesn’t hurt either.

This week’s field is obviously on the weaker side with the FedExCup Playoffs scheduled to begin next week. The real battle is making the Top-70 in the FedExCup standings to be able to qualify for the playoffs, so naturally, players around the bubble will all be in the field and grinding. Every player ranked between 58th and 93rd is in the field this week as proof of that.

On the top end, Brian Harman is the highest ranked player in the field, one of just five Top-25 players teeing it up at Sedgefield while additional notables include amateur and Florida State junior Luke Clanton, as well as the reigning PGA Tour University No. 1 Michael Thorbjornsen.

There are also nearly 20 players that played in Paris at the Olympic Tournament last week which I have reservations about. It’s asking a lot to travel across the Atlantic and get your body and internal timeclock on schedule so quickly.

Finally, I normally reserve this tournament to focus my attention on those players around the Top-70 bubble for obvious reasons.

However, I plan to tread lighter than normal this week due to the uncertainty of the weather and urge you to do the same. We have three great tournaments and fields coming up, so show patience this week.

2024 Wyndham Championship Picks, Predictions and Betting Odds | How to Bet Golf | Tee Time

Wyndham Championship Outright Winner: Billy Horschel +2500 (Bet365 or BetMGM)

From Nick Borrman:

Billy Ho nearly won his first major holding the 54-hole at The Open Championship before ultimately settling for a co-runner-up.

It’s been a resurgent season for the 37-year-old with nine Top-25 finishes including his win at the Puntacana Championship back in April.

He also threw in a T8 at the PGA Championship and a T15 at the Memorial Tournament showcasing his ability to finish high on the leaderboard even in the deepest of fields.

But that’s not the case this week where he ranks #1 in Total SG over the last six months thanks in large part to his best club, his putter, which is always relied on heavily in lower-scoring tournaments.

That’s just one piece of the converging trends for Horschel this week as he also has some of the best tournament history here with five Top-11 finishes in his last seven starts including a solo 4th last year as well as a runner-up in 2020.

Horschel is accurate enough to stay out of major trouble and has an excellent short game, losing strokes around the green just once over his last 15 starts, as well as a hot putter where he has lost strokes on the greens just four times this season. In fact, Horschel has been an excellent putter over his career as he has gained strokes on the greens in 12 straight seasons!

Wyndham Championship Top-10 Finish: Christiaan Bezuidenhout +200 (Bet365)

Speaking of good putters, Bezuidenhout has been exactly that over this career gaining strokes in all seven season he has played in the DP World Tour and PGA Tour. He has also gained strokes around the greens all seven years and on approach in each of the last five seasons.

His weakness has been off the tee where he lost strokes in each of his first six seasons. But he has made a concerted effort to improve in that department and while it’s not much, this is the first season in which he has not lost strokes, gaining +0.07 SG Off the Tee, a huge improvement just from last year where he averaged -0.34 per round.

Bezuidenhout has been consistent all season and dating back to last fall, has now finished inside the Top-25 in 15 of his last 25 starts.

He is on my worry list as far as winning this week as he had a long trip from France to North Carolina after competing and finishing a respectable 16th at the Olympics, but I think he still plays well enough to cash a Top-20 wager.

His best finish here is a T37 in three starts but he is a much more consistent player than at any other point in his career so I’m expecting his best finish this week.

See you next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship!

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