Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction and Betting Odds June 14

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds betting preview for Tuesday, June 14. The Diamondbacks and Reds both sit in the bottom half of their respective divisions.

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Tuesday, June 14	MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Moneyline:	Arizona Diamondbacks -114 vs Cincinnati Reds +104
Runline:	Diamondbacks -1.5 (+175) / Reds +1.5 (-200)
Total:	9 Runs (Over -100 / Under -120)
Game Time:	9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT
Where:	Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
Weather:	Retractable Roof

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds play the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in the second of a three game series. The Reds got a 5-4 win in Monday’s game one, and it’ll be a battle of right-handers tonight with Tyler Mahle (2-5, 5.07 ERA and 74Ks) going against Zach Davies (2-3, 4.21 ERA and 50Ks).

Cincinnati has a 22-39 record, last in the NL Central – while Arizona has a 29-34 record that’s good for 4th in a really tough NL West.

These two pitchers faced each other in Cincinnati just five days ago on June 9th, where they both went 6.0 innings. Davis gave up three earned runs, Mahle allowed just one earned run and struck out 10 Diamondbacks – but Arizona got the win.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Although his season long numbers aren’t that impressive, Tyler Mahle has pitched pretty well the last few games.

In his last three starts he’s only given up four runs in 18.2 innings – however, the Reds lost all three of those games.

The Reds righty also has a 30.7% Whiff Rate on his fastball, and his strikeout rate is 10.1 Ks per nine innings. This is a good matchup against an Arizona lineup that has the 3rd highest K rate in MLB.

Meanwhile, the Reds lineup has improved over the last couple of weeks. Cincinnati has a team batting average of .300 in their last 10 games, along with a 9th best OPS in their last 10 games against righties of .756 and a batting average of .279.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks haven’t played well lately, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, hitting only .216 overall. And against right-handers the last 10 games they have an OPS of .588 and a team average of .194 – that’s below the Mendoza line.

Starter Zach Davies has been about average for Arizona this season. In 12 starts and 62 innings he has a 4.21 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP and struck out 50.

He hasn’t been what you’d call an “innings eater” to go deep into games, but he did go 7.0 and 6.0 innings in his last two starts against the Pirates and the Reds.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

This is a good matchup of starting pitchers and I think the run total is just about right. Both bullpens are in the bottom six in baseball, and I have a hard time trusting either of them for a full game wager.

I like the matchup of a high strikeout pitcher like Mahle going against a K-prone team like the D-Backs. That’s why I’ll take Mahle over 5.5 strikeouts.

Prediction: Tyler Mahle Over 5.5 Strikeouts

First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Tuesday, June 14

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT as we discuss the baseball betting slate.

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WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s baseball games, including this Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.

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