Astros vs Guardians Prediction and Betting Odds May 23
Astros vs Guardians Betting Preview and Odds
Three of the past four Orioles wins have come in a walk-off fashion. WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians betting preview for Monday, May 23, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10pm ET / 5:10pm PT.
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| Monday, May 23 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Houston Astros -195 vs Cleveland Guardians +175 |
| Runline: | Astros -1.5 (+105) / Guardians +1.5 (-125) |
| Total: | 8.5 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110) |
| Game Time: | 8:10pm ET / 5:10pm PT |
| Where: | Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX |
| Weather: | 80 Degrees / Clear |
Astros vs Guardians Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians visit Minute Maid Park to play the Houston Astros in the first of a three game series, with Zach Plesac getting the start against Luis Garcia. Houston is a -195 favorite, while Cleveland is a +165 dog.
Guardians Preview
The Guardians have lost three of four at home – split with the Tigers and lost two to the Red – and Houston won three of four at home from the Rangers. Plesac has fairly average numbers with a 4.42 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 38.2 innings of work.
He hasn’t posted big strikeout numbers with only 23, has issued 12 walks, but has given up six home runs and one in each of his last four starts. That could be a problem against as Astros team with a 3rd best OPS of .750 against right handed pitching.
Team offense is just above average at 13th with a .705 OPS, but an 8th best average at .246. Pitching has been a bit of an issue as their staff ERA is 22nd, however, have an 11th best WHIP at 1.19.
Astros Preview
After a slow start to the season, Houston has regained their form as one of the best teams in baseball. They have a 7th best OPS of .723 and 2nd best staff ERA of 2.84.
Luis Garcia has really good numbers this year with a 3.35 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in seven starts and 37.2 innings of work.
He had a problem with the long ball earlier this year, but seems to have solved that giving up just one home run in his last three starts.
Astros vs Guardians Prediction
Both teams can hit against right handed pitching, with the 3rd and 5th best OPS in baseball. However, Cleveland is 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road underdog, and Houston is 4-1 versus the Guardians in their last five games at home.
The Astros are a better team playing with more confidence, so I’ll take Houston on the run line.
Prediction: Houston -1.5 Run Line
Interested in placing a bet on Monday’s Astros vs Guardians American League clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for May 23
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. The Orioles have three walk-off wins in their past four games. Can they keep riding that momentum into New York for a series with the Yankees? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games, including this Astros vs Guardians showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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