Best Home Run Prop Bets | Friday, July 5th

The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we continue picking winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Friday.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

The heater continues! Wednesday, we hit Christian Yelich (+500). Tuesday, we hit Jorge Soler (+420). Last week we hit Kyle Schwarber (+250).

Two weeks ago, we hit Julio Rodriguez (+575), and we hit Cody Bellinger (+430). The week before, we cashed Adley Rutschman (+600) and Mookie Betts (+400).

To start June, we cashed Alex Bregman (+650) and Bryce Harper (+285). We have been on a heater with home run props. We want to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?

Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Cal Raleigh (CHC) +340

Bellinger has 15 home runs this season, but today, he was a matchup against a pitcher he has seen well. On the season, Raleigh is batting .219 against righties, and nine of his 15 home runs have come against right-handed pitching. He has a 99 wCR+, a .308 BABIP, and a .167 ISO against righties. Given these splits and the fact he is facing a righty, this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.

Raleigh is 4-9 in his career against Kevin Gausman with three home runs, and we expect Raleigh to get the best of him. Gausman has allowed 14 home runs this season, and seven have come against right-handed batters. Raleigh’s success against Gausman makes this one of the best home run prop bets today.

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +375

Yordan has been running hot, and we like his matchup to go yard again. Yordan hit three homes in his last four games and has a great matchup to go to the yard again today. Alvarez has 19 home runs this season, and his 20th should be in his sights today in Minnesota. This is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.

Pablo Lopez is making the start for the Twins at home. Lopez has been decent this season, and he has allowed 17 home runs this season, and 10 of them have come from left-handed batters. Alvarez is 3-8 in his career against Lopez with no home runs, but he has a 92.3-MPH exit velocity, meaning he is hitting the ball hard. We expect him to get the better of Lopez today and lift a baseball for one of the best home run prop bets on the board.

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