Best Home Run Prop Bets | Friday, June 14th
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we continue picking winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Friday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
The heater continues!
Yesterday, we hit Julio Rodriguez (+575). On Wednesday, we hit Cody Bellinger (+430). Last week, we cashed Adley Rutschman (+600) and Mookie Betts (+400).
Two weeks ago, we cashed Alex Bregman (+650) and Bryce Harper (+285). We have been on a heater with home run props. We want to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Corey Seager (TEX) +320
Seager has 14 home runs this season, and tonight, he was a matchup against a pitcher who is tough to hit but lets up home runs. On the season, Seager is batting .285 against righties, and 11 of his 14 home runs have come against right-handed pitching. He has a 164 wCR+, a .258 BABIP, and a .263 ISO against righties. Given these splits and the fact he is facing a righty, this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
Seager is 3-12 in his career against Luis Castillo, but we expect Seager to finally get the best of him. Castillo has allowed 11 home runs this season, and nine have come against left-handed batters, making this one of the best home run prop bets on the board today.
Ketel Marte (AZ) +475
Ketel Marte homered two nights ago, and he has a good matchup to go yard again today. Marte has 14 home runs this season, and his 15th should be in his sights today at home. Marte has a solid matchup today against Chris Flexen and the bad White Sox bullpen.
Chris Flexen is making the start for the Angels on the road, which is a pitcher’s park. Flexen has been bad this season; he has allowed nine home runs this season, and three of them have come from left-handed batters. Marte is 0-12 in his career against Flexen, but he puts the ball in the air with a 13.9-degree launch angle. We expect him to get the better of Flexen, finally.
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