Best Home Run Prop Bets | Friday, June 17th
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we continue picking winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Monday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
The heater continues!
Last week, we hit Julio Rodriguez (+575), and we hit Cody Bellinger (+430). The week before, we cashed Adley Rutschman (+600) and Mookie Betts (+400).
Three weeks ago, we cashed Alex Bregman (+650) and Bryce Harper (+285). We have been on a heater with home run props. We want to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Daulton Varsho (TOR) +550
Varsho has 11 home runs this season, and tonight, he was a matchup against a pitcher he has seen well. On the season, Varsho is batting just .209 against righties, but 10 of his 11 home runs have come against right-handed pitching. He has a 115 wCR+, a .243 BABIP, and a .266 ISO against righties. Given these splits and the fact he is facing a righty, this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
Varsho is 4-8 in his career against Nick Pivetta, and we expect Varsho to continue to get the best of him. Pivetta has allowed eight home runs this season, and four have come against left-handed batters, making this one of the best home run prop bets on the board today.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) +165
These odds are very low for a home run, but at Coors Field, this should be an easy cash. Ohtani hit two homers on Sunday, and he has a good matchup to go to the yard again today. Ohtani has 19 home runs this season, and his 20th should be in his sights today at Coors. This is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
Cal Quantrill is making the start for the Rockies at home, which is a hitter’s park. Quantrill has been surprisingly solid this season; he has allowed eight home runs this season, and four of them have come from left-handed batters. Ohtani is 2-9 in his career against Flexen, but he puts the ball in the air with a 39-degree launch angle. We expect him to get the better of Flexen, finally, for one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
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