Best Home Run Prop Bets | Thursday, May 23rd
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Tuesday, we cashed Bryce Harper (+285). Last Friday, we cashed Shohei Ohtani (+270) and have been on a heater with home run props. We are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Juan Soto (NYY) +300
Juan Soto has a great matchup today, so we are backing one of the hottest hitters on the planet to go yard. Soto had two home runs last night, and tonight’s matchup is even better.
Soto is batting .307 against right-handed pitching, and nine of his 11 homers have come off a righty. Soto is 2-8 in his career off of Luis Castillo with a home run. Add in the fact that the weather should be great at Yankee Stadium, and this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
This season, Luis Castillo has allowed six of his seven home runs to left-handed batters. Last season, Castillo allowed 20 home runs of his 28 to left-handed batters. Soto has not had amazing success against Castillo, but the splits and Soto’s hot bat make this one of the best home run props on the board.
Marcus Semien (TEX) +625
It’s a tough matchup, but Marcus Semien, at these odds, is a great bet to go yard. Semien has not gone yard since May 17th. This season, Semien has nine home runs, and five of the nine have come on the road. Also, five of his nine home runs have come against right-handed pitching. This is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
Zack Wheeler has allowed four home runs so far this season, and all four of them have come against lefties. Last season, he allowed ten home runs to righties, so he is not immune to right-handed hitters hitting the long ball against him. Semien is 4-11 with a home run and a double off Wheeler.
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