Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, April 3

The 2025 MLB season is finally here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs were hit last season and we’re ready to pick more winners in 2025! Free home run prop picks each day come at you compliments of WagerTalk.
Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets on Thursday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, April 3.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +300
Joe Ryan didn’t give up a home run in his first start but we feel he has a decent shot of giving up one today at home against the Astros.
Five of Ryan’s 19 total home runs he gave up last season was to Houston which is an anomaly considering these teams play in different divisions. Yordan Alvarez is 4-11 against Ryan all-time with three of those being home runs.
The Astros’ outfielder has struggled to start the year but he did go 2-4 with two RBIs in yesterday’s 6-3 loss to San Francisco.
Maybe a trip away from Houston will do Alvarez some good as he hit 22 of his 35 home runs on the road last season and also sported a .670 slugging percentage on the road compared to a .466 slugging percentage at home. It’s worth noting that Alvarez had seven home runs in April last season and five in 2023.
It’s only a matter of time before Alvarez gets his first home run of the season so let’s take him at +300 with other Astros hitters to consider for a home run being Jose Altuve at +750 and Isaac Paredes at +830.
MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Cody Bellinger (NYY) +450
Yankees outfielder Cody Bellinger has ample experience against Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly tonight from his time with the Dodgers and we think he has a shot to crack his second home run of the season tonight.
Bellinger is 7-26 with two home runs all-time and he hit five of his 18 home runs last season in April which was a season high for any given month.
Six of the 11 home runs Kelly gave up last season were to left-handed bats and he gave up one home run every 6.2 innings pitched.
He didn’t give up one in his first start of the season against the Cubs in 5.1 innings pitched so he’s due to give up at least one in New York tonight.
The short porch is our friend today as we look for Bellinger to hit a home run at +450 with other candidates for a home run include of course Aaron Judge at +180 and Austin Wells at +440.
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