Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, August 22
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Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +295
Spencer Schwellenbach starts at home for the Braves tonight and in his starts at Truist Park he’s given up a home run every 4.1 innings pitched compared to just one given up every 20 innings when pitching on the road.
Kyle Schwarber already has six home runs this month but surprisingly hasn’t hit one since August 14th. He’s currently battling a cold stretch but we see that changing tonight with Schwellenbach giving up a higher batting average, slugging percentage and OPS to lefties compared to righties on the season while also giving up an equal amount of home runs to each as well.
Schwellenbach does have a home start under his belt against the Phillies this season going six innings while giving up just one run BUT Schwarber did miss that game.
He’ll be in the lineup tonight and we must note he does have home runs off key Braves relievers in his career including Raisel Iglesias, Joe Jimenez and Dylan Lee.
Take Schwarber to hit a home run tonight at +295 with Bryce Harper another viable home run option to consider at +400.
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MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Manny Machado (SD) +475
The Mets and Padres start up a four-game set in San Diego tonight with both teams in the thick of the NL Wildcard race.
Luis Severino starts for New York with Manny Machado posting solid power splits against the veteran going 4-17 with three of those four hits being home runs and the other being a double.
Severino sports a 4.85 ERA in road starts with nine home runs given up in 65 innings compared to just a 3.13 home ERA giving up eight home runs in 77.2 innings pitched.
In his last two roa starts at Seattle and Colorado, Severino has given up three home runs in ten innings pitched.
Take Machado to hit a home run at +475 tonight with another San Diego player to consider for a home run being Jackson Merrill at +500.
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