Best Home Run Prop Bets | Tuesday, April 30th

The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Tuesday.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

It’s time to start a fresh new week of hitting some bets. We have been on a heater with home run props, and we added two winners this past week. We are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?

Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Bryce Harper (PHI) +290

Bryce Harper has not been great so far this season, but he does have six home runs already. Tonight, he gets a matchup he has flourished in during his career. Harper is 6-10 off of Tyler Anderson with three home runs and three doubles. His average exit velocity against Anderson is 101.8 miles per hour, and his average launch angle is 16.9 degrees. It’s safe to say that Harper absolutely dominated Anderson, and this is one of the best home run prop bets to make today.

Anderson has allowed four home runs already this season, and two of them have come against left-handed hitters. Anderson is a southpaw with poor reverse splits. He has a much higher FIP, xFIP, slugging percentage against, and walk rate allowed against left-handed hitters. Considering Bryce’s success against Anderson, and the fact the Angels bullpen has allowed the third most home runs in baseball, this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board today.

Aaron Judge (NYY) +285

The Yankees captain’s start to the season has been slow, but Aaron Judge seems to be coming alive. He hit a home run yesterday, and he hit a home run this past Wednesday, bringing his count to six this season. Five of Judge’s home runs so far have come off of right-handed pitching.

Aaron Judge has dominated Dean Kremer. Judge is 4-10 against Kremer, with three of his four hits being home runs. Judge has an average exit velocity of 99.8 miles per hour and a launch angle of 24 degrees against Kremer, which is a recipe for hitting home runs.

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