Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds April 18
Today’s Best NRFI Picks For April 18th
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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which games will not? Here are the best NRFI bets today and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Thursday, April 18th.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
After a 6-0 run on NRFI bets, we split on Monday, going 1-1 and dropping the juice. What did we do on Tuesday? Another 2-0 sweep. How about Wednesday? 2-0. The run has been extended to 11-1, and today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Prediction 1: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-120)
The Giants and D-Backs face off tonight in San Francisco, and we anticipate no runs being scored in the first inning. Arizona has been one of the best first-inning teams in the MLB, averaging a league-leading 1.37 runs per first inning. However, based on their metrics against Giants’ starter Logan Webb, we anticipate the D-Backs going down to start the game. Webb has a .299 xwOBA against this D-Backs roster with a -2 launch angle, meaning he is getting a ton of ground balls.
Ryne Nelson has not pitched great against the Giants in his brief career, but we anticipate Nelson being able to get three outs for the NRFI. San Francisco flew home yesterday from Miami and is now playing in their home park. Travel fatigue is a thing in baseball, and we expect the Giants to be a little worn down from their trip, and it may take them a little to get going. It also helps that the Giants are already averaging just .37 runs per first inning, making them a great NRFI target.
NRFI Best Bet Today #2: Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox (-105)
The Red Sox and the Guardians are both around the middle of the MLB in average runs scored in the first inning, but we like both offenses to take a backseat in the first frame of the game. Rafael Devers will miss this one for Boston, which takes a big bat out of the Red Sox’s first-inning offense. The Sox are averaging .58 runs per first inning, while the Guardians are averaging .44.
Brennan Bernardino is making the start for Boston. In a small sample against the current Guardians roster, he has a 27.6% K rate, a low 5.5% walk rate, and a low .269 xwOBA. Carlos Carrasco is making the start for the Guardians, and he has pitched well against the current Sox lineup, with a 26.3% K rate and a .305 xwOBA. Considering these mediocre offenses in the first inning and these solid pitchers, we like this one to end in an NRFI.
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