Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds April 23
Today’s Best NRFI Picks For April 23rd
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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which games will not? Here are the best NRFI bets today and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Tuesday, April 23rd.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Over the last two weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 13-3. Is that good? We think that’s good. We split our recommendations yesterday, going 1-1, but we are still 14-4 over our last 18 bets. Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? Let’s dive in.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Prediction 1: Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees (-120)
The Yankees and Athletics continue their series today in the Bronx and were going right back to the well here. New York, despite the names at the top of its lineup, has been one of the worst first-inning teams in the MLB. New York averages just .26 runs per first inning. The Yankees will face right Paul Blackburn who is the A’s best starter. The Yankees lineup has done well against Blackburn in the past, but given New York’s run-scoring woes, especially early in games, we expect the Yankees to be retired without scoring in the first.
The Athletics have a weak top of the batting order, and we do not expect them to play well to start today’s game. Oakland is scoring .35 runs per first inning, and today, they face right Marcus Stroman. The current A’s lineup has not seen much of Stroman, so there is not a lot of data to use. However, in a limited sample, the A’s have a .222 xwOBA against Stroman. Stroman is a groundball pitcher, which is great for a NRFI since teams do not get lift and hit home runs off of him.
NRFI Best Bet Today #2: New York Mets at San Francisco Giants (-130)
There’s a lot of juice on this NRFI bet, but the juice is worth the squeeze. The Mets are one of the worst first-inning teams in the MLB, scoring just .27 runs per first inning this season. New York will take on Logan Webb, a ground ball pitcher, who they have not had success against. Webb has a .290 xwOBA against the current Mets’ roster.
Luis Severino makes the start for the Mets, and despite his high contact rate, he’s done a good job keeping balls in the park. The current Giants roster has a .227 xwOBA against Severino and a 35.5% K rate. Given that Severino keeps the ball on the ground and gets strikeouts, this is one of the best NRFI bets to make today.
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