Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds May 21

Today’s Best NRFI Picks For May 21st

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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which games will not? Here are the best NRFI bets today and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Tuesday, May 21st.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

Over the last four weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 33-23. Is that good? We think that’s good. We split our recommendations Monday, going 1-2, and we are 33-23 over our last 55 bets.

Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? Let’s dive in.

Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks

NRFI Prediction 1: Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (-110)

The Giants are one of the worst first-inning teams in baseball, averaging .40 runs per first inning, and we are going with the under in today’s NL showdown. The Giants have been hot in the first inning, averaging 1.3 runs per first inning over their last three games. We are fading this recent surge. Their run production in the first frame increases to .53 runs when they are at home, but it is inflated due to their first-inning success against the Rockies this past weekend. The Giants’ numbers look better on paper than they actually are, so this is a great NRFI target.

Pittsburgh averages .40 runs per first frame, and though that number rises to .41 runs on the road, we like the NRFI. They have not scored a first-inning run in their last three games. Both offenses’ lack of first-inning success makes this a great NRFI target.

NRFI Best Bet Today #2: Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals (-110)

After cashing this NRFI yesterday, we are going back to the well with the same two teams.

The Nationals are the best NRFI team in the MLB, putting up .22 runs per first frame. They are 1-2 to the NRFI in their last three games, and they score just .28 runs in the first at home. They are facing righty Joe Ryan, who has been one of the best strikeout pitchers in the AL so far this season.

The Twins are averaging .49 runs in the first frame, which is middle of the pack, but they have been much worse on the road. So far this season, they are averaging .28 runs on the road. Lefty-handed starter Patrick Corbin makes the start for Washington. He can get hit hard when he is off, but the Twins have a low .320 xwOBA against Corbin, a low .217 BAA, and a 19,2% K-rate. This is set up nicely for an NRFI.

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