Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Betting Odds June 15
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians betting preview for Wednesday, June 15. C.J. Cron continues to lead the Rockies in both home runs and RBIs heading into their matchup with the Guardians at 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT.
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Wednesday, June 15 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Colorado Rockies -110 vs Cleveland Guardians -100 |
Runline: | Rockies -1.5 (+155) / Guardians +1.5 (-175) |
Total: | 12 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110) |
Game Time: | 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT |
Where: | Coors Field in Denver, CO |
Weather: | 70 Degrees / Clear |
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians take on the Colorado Rockies in Coors Field for the second of a three game series. The G’s needed an extra frame but got the win Tuesday night 4-3 in 10 innings.
Shane Bieber and Antonio Senzatela both had quality starts, going 6.2 and 6.0 innings and giving up only three earned runs. Tonight southpaws Konnor Pilkington (1-0, 3.57 ERA) and Austin Gomber (3-6, 6.17 ERA) will get the start.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
This game is a pick ’em with both sides at -110 for the moneyline, the run total opened at 11.5 and has now gone up to 12.
The books don’t have a lot of confidence in either starting pitcher, and when you look at the advanced analytics for both of them, it’s pretty obvious to see why.
Konnor Pilkington is a hard-throwing left-hander who can strike out a lot of hitters, and is making the switch from the bullpen to the starting rotation. But if he doesn’t get the Ks, bad things usually happen.
In 22.2 innings, seven appearances and four starts he has an ERA of 3.57, a bloated WHIP of 1.54 along with 25 strikeouts.
He’s only given up one home run, but has had some control issues, allowing 14 free passes – that’s almost six walks per nine innings, not a great ratio for a starting pitcher.
The G’s don’t hit left-handed pitching that well, with a 29th best OPS versus lefties of .628 and a .229 batting average.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
Austin Gomber started the season pitching pretty well, but got rocked in two of his last three outings. One was at Washington, where he went 1.1 innings, gave up seven hits and eight earned runs.
The other was at home versus Atlanta, where Gomber went 5.0 innings and gave up 10 hits and nine earned runs.
He did bounce back in his last start at San Francisco, going 6.0 innings and giving up five hits, two earned runs, one walk and struck out five.
While he doesn’t give up too much hard contact or walk many batters, he just doesn’t miss enough bats. He’s in the bottom 20th percentile of these categories: xwOBA, xERA, xBA, xSLG, Whiff % and Fastball Velocity.
While the Rockies have good season-long stats against southpaws with a 7th best OPS of .763 and a .282 average, the hitting has regressed the last few weeks. Overall, they’re just 15th in team OPS at .709 with a .257 batting average after being in the top 10 earlier this season.
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
When a pitcher makes his first start in Coors Field, it usually doesn’t go well. That’s what I think will happen to Pilkington in his first start at 20th and Blake.
I don’t have a lot of confidence in Gomber, but the Rox lefty has more experience pitching at altitude. I would tread and bet lightly on this game, but I’ll give a lean to Colorado on the full game moneyline.
Prediction: Colorado Rockies Moneyline
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Wednesday, June 15
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
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WagerTalkโs Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s baseball games, including this Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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