Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Betting Odds August 10
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his analysis of Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals clash at Coors Field. Despite getting crushed last night, the Cardinals still sit atop the NL Central with the Brewers sitting one game back.
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| Wednesday, August 10 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Colorado Rockies +135 vs St. Louis Cardinals -160 |
| Runline: | Rockies +1.5 (-115) / Cardinals -1.5 (-105) |
| Total: | 12 Runs (Over -125 / Under +105) |
| Game Time: | 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT |
| Where: | Coors Field in Denver, CO |
| Weather: | 85 Degrees / Clear |
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Analysis
The Colorado Rockies host the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday night in the second of a three game series. The home team surprised the visitors with a 16-5 shellacking at Coors Field.
The Rockies bats came to life as they shelled Miles Mikolas for 14 hits and 10 earned runs in just 2.2 innings, and this one was over early. Tonight the Redbirds will send Jose Quintana to the mound against Kyle Freeland, first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 PM EDT.
Cardinals Look For Revenge
The Cards have done a lot of things well the last few weeks, and one of them is hitting left-handed pitching. In the last 30 days, St. Louis has the 3rd best OPS versus southpaws at .817 and a team batting average of .266. Tonight they face a lefty in Kyle Freeland who’s struggled pitching at Coors Field this season, with a 5.55 ERA in 11 starts.
Jose Quintana was picked up before the trade deadline from the Pirates, and seems to be a good addition to the Cardinals’ starting rotation.
He isn’t a flame-thrower or overpowering pitcher – his fastball velocity is in the lowest 19th percentile per Baseball Savant – but he has been effective. The southpaw has a 3-5 record with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP.
Freeland Fighting Back?
Earlier this year the numbers showed the Rockies crushed left-handed pitching. However, they haven’t been as dominant against lefties the last 30 days with a 14th best OPS. And they’re still 10th best in overall OPS for the season, as the largest outfield in MLB helps boost batting average and on-base percentage
For some unknown reason, the Rockies gave Kyle Freeland a 5-year extension earlier this season. But that investment doesn’t seem to have paid off as the southpaw has struggled both at and away from Coors Field. He has a 7-7 record with a 4.56 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP.
Freeland has had decent control with a walk rate of less than three free passes per nine innings. However, he’s given up more hits than you’d like to see, over one base knock per inning for the season.
This rate is slightly better on the road than at home, but it’s still too high for a major league starter. And especially going against a Cardinals lineup with Paul Goldschmidt and former Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado.
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Last night was one of those games where it doesn’t play out like you predicted. Tuesday night’s rout should take any “fat and sassy” or overconfidence out of St. Louis, and the Redbirds should be focused and ready to play tonight.
I’ll give Quintana a small edge over Freeland, and the visitors have the better bullpen. But I don’t see either lineup having a big advantage, as they’re both at the hitters’ paradise known as Coors Canaveral.
The Cardinals are obviously the better team, and this looks to be a good bounce-back spot. That’s why I’ll lean to St. Louis on the moneyline.
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Wednesday, August 10
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WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s baseball games, including this Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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