Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction and Betting Odds May 9
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Betting Preview and Odds
WagerTalk MLB handicapper Brian Ochsner offers his San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies betting preview for Monday, May 9, with the first pitch scheduled for 9:45pm ET / 6:45pm PT.
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| Monday, May 9 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Arizona Diamondbacks +100 vs Miami Marlins -110 |
| Runline: | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155) / Marlins -1.5 (+135) |
| Total: | 9 Runs (Over +105 / Under -125) |
| Game Time: | 9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT |
| Where: | Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ |
| Weather: | 77 Degrees / Clear |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Analysis
The Miami Marlins visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first of a three-game set. It’s a battle of right-handers with Elieser Hernandez going against Humberto Castellanos.
Arizona just took two of three at home from the Rockies, while Miami had three one-run losses out of four games in San Diego. The D-Backs also swept the Marlins in Miami a week ago. so we’ll see if they can return the favor in the desert.
Marlins Preview
It’s an interesting line with Miami listed as slight favorites on the road, and I’m not sure why. Hernandez hasn’t pitched that well for the Marlins this year in 24.1 innings, with a 6.66 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, giving up 27 hits and seven home runs. And Miami has lost six out of their last seven games, and all by one run.
On a positive note, their bullpen has a 7th-best ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.17. And the Marlins hitting is 15th best with a .685 OPS and .231 team batting average.
Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona has won seven of their last 10 games, and has found a power surge at the plate. The Snakes are tied for 7th most home runs in baseball with 31, Christian Walker and Daulton Varsho lead the team with six long flies each.
Starter Humberto Castellanos has decent numbers to start the year, with a 4.12 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in four starts and 19.2 innings of work. His last start was May 3rd in Miami, where he threw 5.2 innings of shutout ball, only giving up four hits and no walks.
One of the points of emphasis for Arizona this off-season was to shore up the bullpen. Unfortunately, that hasn’t panned out as their relievers have a 4th-worst ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.41.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins have only won three of their last 10 games, while Arizona has won seven of their last 10, and have played good ball to start the season with a better than expected 15-14 record. Hernandez has a 6-plus ERA and I don’t understand why Miami is the slight favorite in this matchup.
Miami has also lost 16 of its previous 21 games against NL West teams. And according to Covers.com, Arizona has been the most profitable team for bettors to back this season – even though they’ve been considered a bad team by the general public. If I can get a home underdog playing well for plus money, sign me up. I’ll take Arizona on the moneyline.
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +100
Interested in placing a bet on Monday’s Diamondbacks vs Marlins National League clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for May 9
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. Carlos Rondon continues his impressive season as he and the Giants welcome the Rockies to San Francisco. Can Rondon continue to build his Cy Young resume? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games, including this Diamondbacks vs Marlins showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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