Free MLB Picks Today – 5 MLB Games Predictions for 7/19/2023
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The Pulse: Daily MLB Betting Picks for Wednesday, July 19
San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Prediction
GIANTS (-115) at REDS (-105), 7:10 p.m. ET, Total: 10.5
The Giants completed their suspended game and pulled off a 4-2 victory and then followed that up with an 11-10 win on the strength of a 5-RBI night from Wilmer Flores. The Reds are reeling, losing six consecutive games as they try and salvage something in this series. Graham Ashcraft (4-7, 5.95 ERA) takes the ball in this third game of a four-game set and has been excellent of late, allowing one earned run in three straight starts.
The Giants counter with Ross Stripling, who is looking to work five innings for the first time since May 7 but has been better of late following a month-long stint on the injured list. If he’s able to handle business in the season’s final few months, San Francisco will have a chance to hang in the Wild Card race.
THE PLAY – Giants at Reds Total Play:
Considering that Stripling is still working his way into a groove and Ashcraft is young and pitching in a hitters friendly ballpark, the over on 10.5 runs is the play here.
Chicago White Sox at New York Mets Prediction
WHITE SOX (+180) at METS (-220), 7:10 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5
Toukki Toussaint has become an innings-eater vigilante of sorts, getting signed by teams who need a starter due to injuries or other mishaps. He’s been with the Guardians prior to the White Sox and comes off his longest start, working into the sixth inning on July 14 in a 9-0 loss to the Braves. Chicago hasn’t scored in either of his last two starts.
The Mets counter with Justin Verlander (3-5, 3.72), who is starting to find his way after a slow start, surrendering three or fewer earned runs in four consecutive starts. His improvement will be huge for New York’s chances but it remains to be seen if he’s going to be able to sustain his form. He’s pitched well in big games against heavy hitters with the Padres and Dodgers and should fare well here. Only Elvis Andrus (23-for-77) has had any real success against Verlander among White Sox hitters.
THE PLAY – White Sox at Mets Prediction F5 Bet:
We’ll keep the bullpens out of this, but this looks like a gift horse if Verlander continues making progress as he attempts to round into form as a 40-year-old. Ride the F5 moneyline with New York.
Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs Prediction
NATIONALS (+140) at CUBS (-165), 8:05 p.m. ET, Total: 9.5
The Cubs rolled to a wild 17-3 win on Tuesday, riding a big night from Seiya Suzuki, who has struggled all season and needs to have a big second half if they’re going to make a run. The same can be said about veteran starter Kyle Hendricks (3-4, 3.47), who has been bit hard in his last two starts after finding a rhythm following a slow start, surrendering nine runs on 18 hits against the Red Sox and Yankees. Current Nats are just 9-for-47 against him (.191).
Washington dodged a bullet with 3B Jeimer Canderlario avoiding the IL despite a thumb issue that kept him out multiple games. He homered in his return and is the team’s best chip on the trade block, so look for him to be moved soon. Trevor Williams (5-5, 4.42) was considered someone who would eat innings but has actually pitched well lately, allowing three or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts.
THE PLAY – Nats at Cubs Prediction Bet:
Ride Chicago as a full-game run-line bet.
Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Prediction
TIGERS (+130) at ROYALS (-150), 8:10 p.m. ET, Total: 8/8.5
Tigers starter Eduardo Rodriguez (5-5, 2.70 ERA) gets the ball and there’s no question he and fellow starter Michael Lorenzen will be very desirable at the trade deadline, so pitching well here would do the Tigers wonder as they look for prospects in a trade.
The lefty is one of baseball’s most sought-after pitchers at the trade deadline on Aug. 1 and could use a solid effort in this one to increase his value.
The Royals counter with lefty Ryan Yarbrough (2-4, 5.29), who has surrendered one earned run in each of his last two starts, defeating both the Guardians and A’s . Current Tigers are batting just .143 against him (2-for-14). The Royals won Tuesday’s game 11-10 behind Dairon Blanco’s four hits and three RBIs, surviving a four-run top of the ninth from Detroit,
THE PLAY – Tigers at Royals Total Pick:
Both teams have starters looking to move to contenders, so we’ll ride the under on the total for the full game.
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Prediction
TWINS (+135) at MARINERS (-160), 9:40 p.m. ET, Total: 7/7.5
The Twins rolled to a 10-3 win on Tuesday behind Alex Kiriloff, Willi Castro and Mitch Kepler, so they have a lot of guys contributing at the moment. Kenta Maeda (2-5, 5.50) looks to try and keep the AL Central leaders rolling and has personally not allowed momore than three earned runs since feeling fine, although he was only able to get thorough three innings against Oakland last time out.
The Mainers counter with Luis Castillo 6-7, 2.96), who has habitually been a victim of a lack of run support. Seattle’s ace has a WHIP of 1.03 and has only surrendered and has only surrendered more than three earned runs in one of his last 10 outings.
THE PLAY – Twins at Mariners F5 Bet:
Castillo has been solid of late and should be worth trusting in this one. Ride Seattle on the first-five moneyline in this contest.
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