Free MLB Picks Today – Four MLB Games Predictions for 8/8/2023

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Dansby Swanson of Cubs hits home run — CHICAGO, IL – APRIL 09: Chicago Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson (7) during a Major League Baseball game between the Texas Rangers and the Chicago Cubs on April 09, 2023 at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by John Smolek/Icon Sportswire)

The Pulse: Daily MLB Betting Picks for Tuesday, August 8

Cubs at Mets Prediction

CUBS (-130) at METS (+110), 7:10 p.m. ET, Total: 9.5

The Mets snapped a six-game losing streak on Monday, beating the Cubs 11-2 behind Pete Alonso’s two home runs and six RBI. Following a lengthy rain delay, New York won behind new ace Kodai Senga, who worked six innings and allowed just two runs on seven hits after being staked to a 3-0 lead on Alonso’s first blast in a wire-to-wire win. Chicago had won five of six to get right in the thick of the NL Central race and is still just 2.5 games behind first-place Milwaukee and one game behind second-place Cincinnati as they take the field on Tuesday as road favorites. The Cubs have only lost consecutive games once since July 18 and will look to ride Jameson Taillon (6-6, 5.36 ERA) to a victory. Although his numbers are ugly, Chicago has won the last five times he’s taken the mound and he’s trimmed his ERA from 8.10 to its current state since May 20. Current Mets hitters are 4-for-12 against the Cubs veteran righty, with Francisco Lindor coming in 2-for-4.

Carlos Carrasco (3-6, 6.60) has had a rough season due to injuries and has pitched poorly in each of his last four starts, allowing 21 earned runs in his last 15.1 innings. Over his last three outings, all Mets losses, Carrasco has struck out four and walked four, and he gave up a pair of homers in a 9-2 loss to Kansas City on Aug. 3. Current Cubs hitters are batting .273 against “Cookie,” with Nico Hoerner coming in 3-for-6 and newly acquired Jeimer Candelario sporting 6-for-15 numbers against Carrasco. Dansby Swanson is just 2-for-13 but has a double and a homer.

THE PLAY – Phillies at Pirates F5 Bet

Cubs Player Prop Pick: Candelario has hit safely in five of seven games since being acquired by the Cubs from Washington, which includes a pair of four-hit games against the Reds right out of the gate. He went 0-for-4 against New York on Monday but should bounce back against Carrasco given his history against New York’s slumping right-hander. Ride Chicago’s Jeimer Candelario to top his runs + hits + RBI prop.

Rockies at Brewers Prediction

ROCKIES (+185) at BREWERS (-225), 8:10 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5

Colorado has the worst record in the National League and has more wins than only the A’s and Royals, so it’s been a rough ride that got uglier in Milwaukee on Monday courtesy of a 12-1 defeat. Freddy Peralta struck out 13 batters for his second straight start and the Brewers erased an early 1-0 deficit with a five-run fourth inning, never looking back to move eight games above .500 as they look to get back on track after being swept in Atlanta before losing two of three in D.C. and splitting a four-game set against the Pirates. That stretch was supposed to help create separation between the Crew and Cincinnati and Chicago, who are hot on their trail in the NL Central. Rookie Sal Frelick drove in four runs and homered late, continuing to excel since being called up in late July. Carlos Santana and Mark Canha have become fixtures in Craig Counsell’s lineup, so the hope is that they’ll settle and continue giving the offense a boost since that’s been an issue for much of the season. Wade Miley (6-2, 3.01) will look to bounce back from working just four innings against the Nationals last Wednesday, matching his second shortest outing of the season. Milwaukee has won five of the last seven times he’s taken the mound. Current Rockies are hitting .333 against Miley (13-for-39), with All-Star catcher Elias Diaz (6-for-14) and Jurickson Profar (5-for-9) doing the bulk of the damage. Miley pitched in Colorado on May 4 in a 9-6 loss, getting a no-decision after working six frames and allowing three runs.

Lefty Kyle Freeland (4-12, 4.86) will oppose his fellow southpaw and looks to snap a run of seven consecutive losses since he last tasted victory on May 14. Colorado is 3-9 in his starts since mid-May and has dropped eight straight road games that Freeland has started in. The Denver native actually pitched well in his last road start in San Francisco allowing one run over 6.1 innings, but his road ERA is 5.33 and he’s only won once, way back in his first start on March 31. Opponents are hitting a robust .299 against him as a visitors, but current Brewers have fared terribly against Freeland, coming in 4-for-55 (.073). The newly acquired Canha has three of the hits, while Christian Yelich (1-for-10) has the other. Santana is 9-for-9 and went 0-for-5 on Monday.

THE PLAY – Rockies Player Prop Pick:

We’re going to fade Santana, who is batting .227 on the season and is mired in a 2-for-13 slump with no extra base hits. Ride the under on Brewers slugger Carlos Santana’s runs, hits and RBI prop.

Giants at Angels Prediction

GIANTS (-115) at ANGELS (-105), 9:38 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5

The Giants got their week off to a strong start with a huge rally on Monday, scoring six runs in the ninth to erase a deficit in an 8-3 win. Patrick Bailey got the big hit with a go-ahead two-run double and the offense piled on from there. L.A. has now dropped seven straight games after their surge around the trade deadline that made their decision to hold on to Shohei Ohtani an easy one, and Mike Trout is still a week away from being able to return, so the season is slipping away from the Angels as they’ve now dipped two games under .500 and find themselves eight games back of a Wild Card spot. New addition Lucas Giolito (6-8, 4.36) will look to stop the bleeding but hasn’t fared well in his new locale, dropping road games in Toronto and Atlanta. This will be his first start in Anaheim. Giolito has allowed 12 runs over nine innings, surrendering five home runs as a member of the Angels. Current Giants are 5-for-15 against the righty, with Joc Pederson and Brandon Crawford each coming in 2-for-3.

San Francisco is currently the top Wild Card in the NL, leading the Phillies by a half-game. There are a handful of teams involved in the chase for a playoff spot, so the pressure is on for the Giants to continue playing well. After a rough weekend that featured a pair of losses to the struggling A’s that snapped a run of wins in five of six contests, coming back in the ninth against the Angels provided a huge boost. Scott Alexander (6-1, 3.21) will open for the Giants after working in both losses against Oakland over the weekend. Tristan Beck and Sean Manaea will likely also see action in working the bulk of this one as San Francisco looks to put together another victory. Eduardo Escobar (5-for-11) and Randal Grichuk (5-for-13) have had a lot of success against Manaea. Ohtani is 1-for-4.

THE PLAY – Giants at Angels F5 Side Bet:

Given how the bullpen imploded for the Halos on Monday, we want no part of seeing how their relievers bounce back in this contest. Giolito should be able to settle in at home and San Francisco could be vulnerable given that they’re trying to piece together some pitching to try and pick up a win. Ride the Angels to be leading after the first five innings and back the money line (-125), which covers us with a push in the event the teams are tied entering the sixth.

Padres at Mariners Prediction

PADRES (+120) at MARINERS (-140), 9:40 p.m. ET, Total: 8.5

Logan Gilbert (9-5, 3.86) has a career-low WHIP and looks to reach double-digits in wins for the second straight season as he takes the mound at home on Tuesday. Gilbert has actually struggled in Seattle this season, coming in 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA at T-Mobile Park as opposed to a 7-1 mark on the road. The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games and have moved within three games of the Blue Jays for the AL’s final Wild Card spot, surpassing the slumping Red Sox, Yankees and Angels. The M’s have won the last six times Gilbert has taken the mound, so they’ll be confident entering this interleague series against the disappointing Padres, who are only four games back in the NL Wild Card chase despite entering this series three games under .500. Current Padres are hitting just .154 against Gilbert (8-for-52), and it will be interesting to see how new additions Garrett Cooper and Ji Man Choi continue to be deployed.

San Diego got rocked 13-7 on Monday afternoon, falling victim to an eight-run fourth inning that was highlighted by a Mookie Betts grand slam. The Padres are hoping Nick Martinez (5-4, 3.68) can eat some innings as he’ll serve as the opener for this one, making his second start this month after working exclusively out of the bullpen in high-leverage situations from April 26 until the beginning of August. Only newly acquired Josh Rojas (0-for-7) and Eugenio Suarez (0-for-1) have ever faced Martinez, who will be working in his 49th game tonight, a career-high.

THE PLAY – Padres at Mariners full-game bet:

Gilbert has been excellent for most of the past few months and Martinez is making his 16th start in 96 outings, so there will likely be some adjustments to be made. Even though they dealt closer Paul Sewald to Arizona, the Mariners’ bullpen remains a strength, so we’ll back a full-game bet here. Ride Seattle on the money line.

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