Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 10/3/23 – Best MLB HR Prop Bets for Today
MLB Home Run Prop Predictions For October 3
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Wagertalk provides daily home run prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, October 3 written by the experts at the Prop Hub with odds provided by FanDuel.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Carlos Santana (+430)
The Diamondbacks limp into the postseason on a four-game losing streak while being outscored 12-3 during that span.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for Arizona allowing 15 of his 22 home runs on the road with Arizona playing in Milwaukee to start their NL Wildcard Round.
Carlos Santana has been heating up as of late for the Brewers batting .333 in the past week to go along with a .722 slugging percentage.
He bats .260 at home this season compared to just .223 on the road. Pfaadt hasn’t played against the Brewers this season but has allowed five home runs across his last five starts.
Santana was traded to Milwaukee from Pittsburgh at the end of July. He hit 12 of his home runs in 94 games with the Pirates and his other 11 came in just 52 games during his time with the Brewers.
The Brewers first baseman is certainly seeing the ball clearer since joining Milwaukee so take him to hit a home run at +430 with other Brewers to look at for a home run include Willy Adames (+400) and Christian Yelich (+470).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Josh Bell (+480)
The Marlins are heading into the postseason with nothing to lose. No one expected them to perform this season how they have especially after 8-straight losses to open up the second half.
Josh Bell was a huge acquisition for Miami during this season and he is 10-36 with three home runs off Phillies starter Zach Wheeler.
Bell will be batting from the left side against Wheeler in which the Phillies righty allows lefties to bat .261 on the season compared to just .194 against righties.
He has allowed 10 of his 20 home runs to lefties and 10 of 20 have come over the past two months as well. The other 10 came over April-July.
Bell has 22 home runs this season in which 14 of them have come against right handed pitching with 11 coming on the road as well.
He hit .357 against the Phillies during the regular season with a home run and hit .300 at Citizens Bank Park as well. Take Bell to hit a home run at +480 with other Marlins to consider for a home run include Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+450) and Jorge Soler (+400).
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