Home Run Prop Picks, Best Predictions and Odds 5/3/23 – Best MLB Prop Bets for Today

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For May 3

WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 3 with odds provided by FanDuel.

Kyle’s home run prop predictions article comes out every day and is the most widely read home run props page online. We nailed Ryan Mountcastle at +470 to hit a home run yesterday so let’s see if we can nail another home run hitter tonight!

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Matt Chapman (+350)

Blue Jays third baseman Matt Chapman is seeing the ball clearer than ever this year with an average sitting at .374 entering their game against Boston tonight.

Chapman is a career .246 hitter who is primarily known for his power and has a good shot to hit a home run out of Fenway Park tonight.

The Red Sox send Nick Pivetta to the mound who has allowed four home runs in 14 innings pitched at home so far this season. Last season Pivetta wasn’t much better at Fenway Park allowing a home run every six innings pitched.

Chapman hasn’t hit a home run since April 18 and he’s due considering how great he’s making contact with the ball. Four of Chapman’s five home runs have come on the road with the third baseman hitting .385 at Fenway Park last season as well.

Pivetta has a tendency to give up home runs so grab Chapman to hit one tonight at +350 with other Blue Jays hitters to consider are Bo Bichette (+480) who is 10-24 with two home runs all time against Pivetta and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+300) who has two home runs off Pivetta as well.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Kris Bryant (+340)

Eric Lauer may still be having nightmares about his lone start at Coors Field last season where he allowed seven earned runs including two home runs in 2.2 innings pitched. He’ll get the start there tonight for the Brewers going up against Kris Bryant and the Rockies.

Two of three home runs hit by Bryant this season have come against lefties in 25 at-bats with his other one coming in 78 at-bats against righties.

Bryant is 3-9 with a home run of Lauer in his career and the Milwaukee starter hasn’t been great this season in general as well. He’s already allowed six home runs in 26 innings pitched while last season he allowed a home run every 5.2 at-bats to the opposition.

Like Chapman, Bryant hasn’t hit a home run since April 18 making this a great opportunity to play on him in a valuable matchup against Lauer and the Brewers tonight.

Get Bryant at +340 to hit a home run at Coors Field tonight with other Rockies players who could potentially hit one are C.J. Cron (+290) and Randal Grichuk (+210).

Stop Wasting Money on Bad Odds!

So, we did the research and here are the sportsbooks with the best home run prop odds – why would you ever use a sportsbooks with worse odds? Shop around, increase winnings, decrease losses. You’ll never find an MLB betting sharp with 1 or 2 sportsbooks only!

Best MLB Odds For Home Run Props:

Sportsbook	Welcome Bonus	States Available	Get Your Bonus
1. Caesars	Get $1250 On Us	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
2. BetRivers	$500 in 2nd Chance Bonus Bets	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV	GET BONUS!
3. Unibet	$100 2nd Chance Bet	AZ, IN, NJ, PA, VA	GET BONUS!
4. BetMGM	First Bet $1000 PayBack in Bonus Bets	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
5. Tipico	$250 Deposit Match	CO, IA, NJ, OH	GET BONUS!
6. Bet365	Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets	CO, NJ, OH, VA	GET BONUS!
7. FanDuel	$1000 No Sweat First Bet	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
8. Superbook	$250 Every First Bet Wins	AZ, CO, NJ, OH, TN	GET BONUS!

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview For May 3

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate. Hey, how’s your baseball betting strategy?  Learn how to bet on baseball with WagerTalk’s baseball betting guide, and check out the great ways you can make smart run line bets. 

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!

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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s baseball games and monitor your home run prop betting picks. 

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