Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 5/20

Daily MLB Home Run Prop Bets

After looking at the starting pitchers scheduled to start during tonight’s slate, there are many hitter/pitcher matchups we can take advantage of. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his home run prop picks and predictions for Friday, May 20 with odds provided by FanDuel.

Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Trevor Story (+330)

Obviously we’re a game late with this call but the numbers say Trevor Story could be in store for another big night tonight as he gets to go up against Robbie Ray.

In his career Story is 8-27 with three home runs and last night he went 4-4 with three home runs and seven RBIs. The Red Sox as a team may have found their offensive touch and they get a nice match up with Ray who sports a 4.62 ERA and has allowed a home run in each of his last three starts.

He allowed five earned runs in total in his last start against the Mets. Story has hit all of his home runs during night games and has a .284 batting average compared to a .154 average in day games.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: George Springer (+340)

It’s been a short but somewhat rough season already for Reds starting pitcher Luis Castillo as he takes on a Blue Jays team that’s looking to smash home runs at home.

Castillo has never pitched against many notable Blue Jays hitters and that includes George Springer who needs to get back on track this month after a solid April. He only has one home run in May so far and this matchup presents a perfect opportunity for Springer to hit a home run out of the Rogers Centre.

His home/road splits are pretty much even, but he’s a much better hitter during night games hitting .295 compared to only .231 during the day. He’s the lead off hitter for the Blue Jays as well which means he’ll have an opportunity to collect extra at-bats.

Springer does possess high power which we saw in 2019 when he hit 39 home runs in 122 games. That’s one home run every three games!

Bonus Home Run Prop Pick: Enrique Hernandez (+330)

Enrique Hernandez has only gone 10-46 against Ray but five of those ten hits are home runs. He was the only Red Sox player to not record a hit last night giving him more motivation to do some damage tonight.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for May 20

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