Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 6/15/22
Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For June 15
Who’s tied with Aaron Judge with 12 home runs over the past 30 days? That’d be Paul Goldschmidt who hit a home run yesterday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 15 with odds provided by PointsBet.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Adam Duvall (+270)
Adam Duvall has been on a tear as of late hitting five home runs in his last nine games played and he’s positioned to hit another one tonight against Nationals starter Erick Fedde.
Duvall is 7-15 all-time against Fedde with two home runs. Tonight’s game is in Washington and five of the seven home runs he’s given up have been at Nationals park.
He also has a 5.02 ERA at home and a 6.14 ERA in night games. Duvall’s hitting in general has gotten better. After hitting .197 in April and .185 in May, he’s vastly improved so far in June hitting .289 for the month so far.
An anomaly with Duvall’s stats are that he’s hit five of his seven home runs playing as a left fielder in 37 at-bats compared to two home runs hit when playing centerfield in 153 at-bats.
So before first pitch, if you see Duvall listed as the teams starting left fielder, it makes picking him to hit a home run at +270 even more valuable.
Other Braves hitters to consider hitting a home run tonight are Ronald Acuna Jr. (+270), Matt Olson (+340) and Austin Riley (+340).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Trevor Story (+400)
Athletics starter tonight James Kaprielian hasn’t been reliable to say the least so far this season. He’s 0-3 with a 5.73 ERA and has given up five home runs in his last three starts including one two starts ago in which he pitched 5.1 innings against the Red Sox allowing four earned runs in total.
That home run was against Xander Bogaerts, but we’re going to go with Trevor Story who has had a roller coaster of a year so far.
After hitting five home runs in April and nine in May he has yet to hit one in June despite his .231 average which is the highest of any month for him so far. Six of Story’s nine home runs have come at home and eight of his nine have come during night games.
He also hits .267 in night games compared to .145 in day games. If Story misses his shot against Kaprielian specifically, that’s okay because Oakland’s bullpen sports the fifth highest ERA of any in the MLB.
At +400 we get solid odds on Story, but other Red Sox hitters have been hot as of late including J.D. Martinez (+315) who has been hitting more home runs as of late as well as Rafael Devers (+330).
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for June 15
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