Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 7/14/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For July 14

Giancarlo Stanton crushed his 23rd home run of the season yesterday en route to a 7-6 extra innings win over the Reds. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Thursday, July 14 with odds provided by PointsBet.

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Matt Carpenter (TBD)

For the third day in a row we’re going with a Yankee to hit a home run and this time we’re going with Matt Carpenter.

He’s not an everyday starter so be sure to track starting line ups before game time with this one but manager Aaron Boone would be foolish not to start him as he has two home runs off Reds starter Luis Castillo in his career going 6-26 in total.

Ever since Carpenter has joined the Yankees back in late May he’s been on fire when he gets the start. He’s hit 10 home runs total in only 65 at-bats with five of them coming at home in 21 at-bats. That’s one home run every four at-bats at home!

The Yankees have surprisingly struggled against the Reds so far this series and adding Carpenter to the starting lineup would be a nice shake up of things as he’s capable of playing all around the field on defense.

Carpenter’s odds haven’t been listed as of yet but other Yankees to consider are DJ LeMahieu (+900) and Aaron Judge (+220).

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Ian Happ (+650)

The Cubs have been dreadful as a team lately losing six straight games as left fielder Ian Happ was named to his first all-star game recently. He and the Cubs get the Mets with Carlos Carrasco taking the mound who hasn’t been great as of late.

He’s failed to go six innings in four straight starts while giving up four home runs and 14 earned runs in total during those games. His road ERA stands at 6.11 while allowing seven home runs in 35.1 innings pitched away from Citi Field opposed to only four in 57.2 innings pitched at home.

Happ is a much better hitter at home sporting a .338 average at Wrigley Field opposed to only a .222 average away from home. Get Happ at a valuable +650 but another Cubs player who could hit one is another all-star in Wilson Contreras at +450.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Thursday, July 14

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

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