Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/11/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 11

We’re on fire going 3-3 this week picking a home run hitter each day as we head into the Field of Dreams edition of home run props tonight! WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Thursday, August 11 with odds provided by PointsBet.

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Paul Goldschmidt (+280)

There have been 35 total runs scored so far through two games of the Cardinals vs Rockies series at Coors Field. We’re going there today with Paul Goldschmidt going up against Colorado right-hander German Marquez.

Goldschmidt is 13-34 against Marquez all-time with four home runs. The righty has been bad at home this season with a 6.11 ERA and allowing 14 home runs in 66.1 innings pitched coming out to one allowed every 4.5 innings or so.

He’s only allowed one home run in his last three home starts combined so you know he has to come back down to earth at Coors Field soon.

Goldschmidt is solid on the road hitting .294 with eight home runs and his August has been consistent as well so far hitting .320 with a couple home runs.

Get Goldschmidt listed at +280 and other Cardinals hitters to consider in this great matchup are Nolan Arenado (+270) with three home runs in the past seven days as well as Paul DeJong (+350) who has been hot since getting called up from AAA.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Aristides Aquino (+390)

We’re looking to the Field of Dreams game for our second prediction pitting the Reds and Cubs against one another. In one start against the Reds this season, Cubs starter Drew Smyly allowed two home runs in 5.2 innings.

One of those home runs came off the bats of Aristides Aquino who we’re going with in this matchup. Now this may seem like a huge risk considering Aquino’s total stats on the season which include a .188 average three total home runs and nine RBIs.

For what it’s worth his hitting has improved since atrocious April. If you take out that month, Aquino is hitting .260 on the season. Aquino does have some power to speak of in the past hitting 19 home runs in 56 games in 2019 and ten home runs last season in 84 games played.

He’s due for another power surge and for the love of the game, why not start tonight in the Field of Dreams game in Dyersville, Iowa. Aquino is risky to go with listed at only +390 which speaks to his power potential.

Other Reds hitters to consider are shortstop Kyle Farmer (+450) who hits .316 against lefties and five of his six home runs as well as former Cub Albert Amora Jr. (+700) hitting .313 against the Cubs so far this season.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Thursday, August 11

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Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!

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