Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/22/22
Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 22
Rowdy Tellez and Matt Olson each smacked their 26th home run of the year yesterday. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Monday, August 22 with odds provided by PointsBet.
Interested in joining WagerTalk at the Westgate’s SuperContest Weekend in Las Vegas? Click here to learn more about the activities (golf, basketball, handicapping panels and more) and the discounted room block as WagerTalk takes over Sin City in August.
Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Pete Alonso (+280)
Pete Alonso already has a home run off Yankees starter tonight, Domingo German and is prone to hitting another one tonight, this time in Yankee Stadium. Considering Alonso’s power and Yankee Stadium’s ability to give up many home runs, getting him at +280 isn’t bad value.
He’s 4-6 against the Yankees so far this season and has belted four home runs already this month. Eighteen of Alonso’s 30 home runs have come on the road in 250 at-bats coming out to a home run every 14 at-bats and it’s been exactly 14 road at-bats since his last home run away from Citi Field.
German has given up three home runs on the road in 18.2 innings pitched and allows right handed hitters to hit .315 so far against him this season. His one start against the Mets this season he went 4.2 innings allowing two earned runs including the one home run to Alonso previously mentioned.
If you’re interested in another Mets player to hit a home run, consider Mark Canha (+630) who is coming off a two home run game and is 7-11 with a home run against German in his career. Tyler Naquin (+450) is another good bet who has a home run off German in six at-bats against him in his career.
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Max Muncy (+500)
Max Muncy’s hitting this season is probably something he’d like to forget as he’s only batting .190 this season which is a huge step back from the .249 average he had last season. To his credit though he’s been trying to improve hitting .328 in August with seven home runs.
Those home runs are more than double he’s hit in any month this season so far. He hits .197 at home compared to .183 on the road and seven of his 16 home runs have come at Dodger Stadium. It’s tough to suggest a lefty vs lefty matchup as managers often sit lefties like Muncy against a lefty starter like Eric Lauer, but stats between these two show otherwise.
Two of Muncy’s four hits against Lauer have been home runs and the pitcher has been much worse on the road than at home this season. He sports a 4.48 road ERA allowing 15 home runs in 64.1 innings pitched coming out to a home run allowed every 4.5 innings.
Lauer also has been worse against lefties this season than righties in terms of batting average at .235 vs lefties and .226 vs righties. Get Muncy at +370 but other Dodger hitters to consider are Trea Turner (+300) who has two home runs against Lauer and Cody Bellinger (+550) who is 5-15 with a home run off Lauer as well.
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Monday, August 22
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.
Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo
Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games.
**************************************************
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
Related Posts
