Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/30/22
Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 30
Aaron Judge hit his league leading 50th home run yesterday in Los Angeles with Shohei Ohtani hitting his 29th home run in the same game as well. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 30 with odds provided by PointsBet.
Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Salvador Perez (+190)
The Royals are coming off a game against the Padres in which they put up 15 runs, the most for them in any game this season. Tonight they get a struggling Lucas Giolito in Chicago where he posts a 6.71 ERA on the season.
Salvador Perez has posted solid numbers against Giolito in his career going 10-28 with three home runs. Perez has five home runs this month including one in the Royals offensive outburst last game.
He’s on a modest 6-game hitting streak and nine of his 18 home runs this season have come on the road. Giolito allows righties to hit .326 off him with 14 home runs in 276 at-bats.
Get Perez at +190 to hit a home run tonight, but other Royals hitters to consider with some more value are Bobby Witt Jr. (+320) and Michael Taylor (+500).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Ronald Acuña Jr. (TBD)
The Braves have a little ground to make up if they want to seriously contend for a NL East title and it starts tonight hosting the Rockies.
Colorado is sending Jose Urena to the mound who has been absolutely dreadful as of late. He’s allowed 19 earned runs in his last 20 innings pitched including six home runs. Ronald Acuña Jr’s power has fallen off this season with only 10 so far this season.
This is a perfect spot for him to get his power in order as he’s 4-17 with a home run against Urena all-time. Acuña Jr. is day-to-day so be sure to keep an eye on his status going into tonight’s game. He’s hit seven of his ten home runs at home in 14 less at-bats than on the road.
He’s hit .444 against the Rockies this season with a home run. All the analytics point to Acuña Jr. having a high possibility to hit a home run tonight but his odds haven’t been determined yet due to him being banged up.
Other Braves you could target are Dansby Swanson (+400) who has a home run off Urena and Matt Olson (+300) who is 3-4 off Urena all-time.
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.
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