Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/4/22
Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 4
Brandon Drury hit his first home run in a Padres uniform off the Rockies Chad Kuhl last night. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Thursday, August 4 with odds provided by PointsBet.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Corey Seager (+320)
Mookie Betts hit one out of Oracle Park last night and we’ll look for him to do it again tonight as the Dodgers go against Alex Cobb and the Giants. Betts is 10-30 all-time against Cobb with two home runs.
With last night’s home run, Betts passed his 2021 home run total in 36 less games played. Needless to say, Betts is on pace to set a career high in home runs hit for a season as the most he’s had thus far is 32 back in 2018.
Betts has hit 10 of his 24 home runs on the road and hits .257 overall when away from Dodger Stadium. Against the Giants so far this season Betts has hit four home runs in 46 at-bats hitting .304.
Betts is a valuable +550 to hit a home run, but other Dodger hitters to consider are Freddie Freeman (+750) and breakout outfielder James Outman (+750).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Victor Robles (+700)
With the reshuffle of the Nationals line up after the departure of Juan Soto and Josh Bell, Victor Robles has slotted himself as the everyday leadoff hitter for the Nationals for the rest of the season.
This is more of a risky call with Noah Syndergaard making his Phillies debut tonight, but Robles posts solid splits against him. He’s 4-12 with three of those hits being home runs. July was Robles’ best month so far this season hitting .246 with three of his four total home runs.
The Nationals haven’t been as bad as people thought as of late going 5-4 in their last nine games. Robles still has much to prove if he wants a prominent spot on the Nationals in the future or any MLB roster making his performance the rest of this season very important.
For what it’s worth Syndergaard posts a much worse road ERA than home ERA and considering this is his first start in a Phillies uniform, it could feel like a road game for him. Robles is listed at a valuable +700 but if you want to take a shot on another Nationals hitter, consider shortstop Luis Garcia at +650.
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Thursday, August 4
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Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo
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