Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/5/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 5

Nolan Arenado hit the longest of 36 home runs hit yesterday at 428 feet against Sean Newcomb. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Friday, August 5 with odds provided by PointsBet.

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Mookie Betts (+320)

We struck out with Mookie Betts when picking him to hit a home run two days ago, but we’re going back to the well tonight as Betts has another phenomenal matchup going against the Padres Sean Manaea at home.

Betts is 7-19 all-time against Manaea with two home runs and Manaea has been struggling as of late. He’s allowed 18 home runs on the season with seven of them coming in July.

He had his highest ERA of any month in July at 5.40 including a dreadful performance against the leagues worst offensive team in the Tigers going 3.1 innings and allowing four earned runs including two home runs.

Betts has hit a home run in two of the last three games played but unfortunately for us the game we picked him is the game he didn’t hit a home run. This will be the Dodgers first game back at home after an 8-game road trip so they’ll be excited to perform for the home crowd.

Get Betts at +300 to hit a home run but other Dodgers hitters to consider are Cody Bellinger (+520) who has two home runs off Manaea or Freddie Freeman (+420) who also has a home run off him as well.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Charlie Blackmon (+560)

Judging by how consistent Charlie Blackmon has been hitting the long ball this season he’s about due for a home run this month as he’s had between 3-5 home runs in each month thus far.

He’s yet to hit one in August, but gets a familiar matchup tonight in the Diamondbacks Madison Bumgarner.

Normally I wouldn’t suggest a lefty vs left matchup to hit a home run, but there’s an exception to be made for Blackmon here. He’s 18-53 all-time against Bumgarner with three home runs and actually hits lefties very well in general this season hitting .295 vs .255 against righties. He has a worse road average vs home but he has hit a majority of his home runs on the road this season.

Considering Blackmon’s experience against Bumgarner and that he has home runs against multiple Diamondbacks, getting hime at +560 is very valuable. Other Rockies who could hit one out include C.J. Cron at +340 or Garrett Hampson (TBD) who has also a home run off Bumgarner.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Friday, August 5

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