Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/9/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 9

We nailed Matt Chapman hitting his 22nd home run of the season off the Orioles as we try to pick another home run hitter tonight! WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 9 with odds provided by PointsBet.

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Francisco Lindor (+390)

The Mets area on a roll winning 13 of their past 15 games and tonight they get a juicy matchup with the Reds sending Mike Minor to the mound. We’re going with Francisco Lindor who was robbed of a home run last night and will look to get the job done tonight.

He’s hitting .344 in August with two home runs and he already has a home run against the Reds this season off Hunter Greene. He has five home runs in 124 at-bats against lefties this season coming out to 25 at-bats per home run which means he’s due soon for a home run against a left handed pitcher.

Minor has allowed 16 home runs in 56.2 innings pitched this season coming out to a home run allowed every 3.5 innings. He allows right handed batters to hit .317 off him this season and given Lindor is a switch hitter, he’ll be batting from the right side against Minor. He has yet to face the Mets this season and could be in for a rude awakening tonight.

Get Lindor at +390 but other Mets to consider are of course Pete Alonso at +255 and Mark Canha (+470) who is 6-18 with three home runs off Minor in his career. Remember the Reds have arguably the worst bullpen in the league as well.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Nolan Arenado (+260)

The Cardinals and Rockies meet for the first time this season with their first series coming at Coors Field. Colorado will send Ryan Feltner who has been poor when he’s pitched this season which hasn’t been much.

He’s given up seven home runs in 40.2 innings pitched in total. He’s pitched much more on the road this season than at home, but in those home starts he’s given up seven earned runs including two home runs in 13.1 innings pitched.

This makes for a great matchup for Nolan Arenado who has been arguably the leagues best hitter in August with a .476 average for the month including three home runs. Half of Arenado’s 22 home runs have come on the road and he posts a .312 average against righties opposed to hitting only .246 against lefties.

Arenado is listed at +260 to hit a home run out of Coors Field. Other Cardinals hitters you could target are Paul Goldschmidt (+280) and Paul DeJong (+350) who has seen a resurgence on the main roster since getting called up from Triple-A.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Tuesday, August 9

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