Mariners vs Rangers Prediction and Betting Odds April 19
Mariners vs Rangers Betting Preview
The Rangers roll into Seattle with the league’s worst pitching, sporting a 6.19 team ERA but the Mariners have only been able to hit .215 so far this season as a team. WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers betting preview for tonight, with the first pitch scheduled for 9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT.
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| Tuesday, April 19 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Seattle Mariners -138 vs Texas Rangers +128 |
| Runline: | Mariners -1.5 (+145) / Rangers +1.5 (-165) |
| Total: | 7.5 Runs (Over -120 / Under +100) |
| Game Time: | 9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT |
| Where: | T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA |
| Weather: | 45 Degrees / Slight Chance of Rain |
Mariners vs Rangers Analysis
The Texas Rangers meet the Seattle Mariners in T-Mobile Park for the first of a three-game series, with right-hander Jon Gray going against left-hander Robbie Ray.
The Rangers are off to a shaky start this season with a 2-7 record. Texas can score runs in bunches, but the pitching and defense are a problem in Arlington.
Rangers Look to Improve Lowly Pitching
Their off-season moves were a mixed bag, as they signed former Dodgers shortstop Corey Seager – who’s been a great addition to the team – but also signed former Rockies starter Jon Gray to be the staff ace.
Gray had better numbers at Coors Field versus on the road, where pitchers should (at least in theory) pitch better. He’s also been a good strikeout pitcher throughout his career, averaging one K per inning.
Those numbers should improve pitching away from Coors Field, which is a positive for the veteran right-hander.
Maybe the strikeout numbers were the reason the Rangers signed him, and/or he was more affordable than other free agent pitchers… and/or there weren’t any better available pitchers on the market.
Gray was a decent, reliable starting pitcher in Colorado. But if he’s your #1, your rotation has some problems. And that’s exactly where this team finds itself to start the season.
On the brighter side, Texas can hit and hit well, especially against left-handed pitchers like Seattle’s starter, Robbie Ray. The Rangers have a .954 team OPS against lefties, which is pretty, pretty… pretty good, as Larry David would say.
Ray Still Getting Comfortable With the Mariners
For the Mariners, it looks like their bats finally woke up, scoring 18 runs in last weekend’s three-game set at home with the Astros. That’s impressive because it was against one of the top 10 pitching staffs in baseball, and early in the year at one of the most hitter un-friendly ballparks in MLB.
Ray is coming off an excellent season with Toronto, with a 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over 193.2 innings. But in 2022, the southpaw regressed to a 4.73 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, and gave up four home runs in 13.1 innings of work.
Not the kind of stats you want before facing a hot-hitting team like Texas. The good news for Seattle is that the rest of the pitching staff has performed well, with a 6th-best team ERA of 3.14 and a very good 1.10 WHIP.
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction
Although Ray is considered the Mariner’s staff ace, his shaky first two starts make me nervous. The Rangers have crushed left-handed pitching to begin the season and should be able to get a few runs off the Seattle starter.
The Mariners’ hitters seem to have found their groove, and the Rangers bullpen has been a dumpster fire so far in 2022. The total seems a bit low and I see value here. That’s why I’ll take the over 7.5 runs total.
Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs Total
Interested in placing a bet on Tuesday’s Mariners vs Rangers American League clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for April 19
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. There will be two sets of double header games today after a day full of rain yesterday. How will the Diamondbacks, Nationals, Giants and Mets adjust? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s baseball games, including this Mariners vs Rangers showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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