Expert MLB Picks Today: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Expert Daily MLB Picks

Major League Baseball is a complex sport with a lot of moving parts. There are hundreds of players on each team, and each game can be unpredictable. This makes it difficult for even the most knowledgeable fans to pick winners consistently.

That’s where expert daily MLB picks come in. These picks are made by professional handicappers who have years of experience studying the game. They use their knowledge of statistics, trends, and matchups to identify the best plays for each day.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Pick and Predictions

Monday’s game produced 12 runs. This one also figures to reach double-digits. Greinke has been very hittable of late. He allowed 11 hits last game and has given up 28 hits while walking four over his past three starts. That translates to an ugly 2.042 WHIP; he’s got a poor 7.47 ERA in those three starts. He’s 0-5 on the season with a 7.04 ERA in eight road starts. Maeda can relate. He’s got a 14.00 ERA (2.33 WHIP) in two home starts and an 8.31 ERA (1.923 WHIP) in his last three overall. Greinke got rocked here back in the spring, allowing seven runs in 3 ⅔ innings. These two have been involved in a few high-scoring games against each other in the past. Don’t be surprised when this turns into another one. *Good at 9 or better

Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians Pick and Prediction

That’s now 9 straight wins and 17 of 18 for the Braves, who continue to make winning at the highest level look easy. There isn’t a weakness in this lineup, evidenced by #9 hitter Michael Harris launching 2 home runs in yesterday’s win. Harris is batting .416 in his last 24 games. Not only does Atlanta have their own “All-Star” lineup, but the pitching has been solid, and the defense is also great. Kolby Allard didn’t allow a run in his first start with Atlanta, and we will make the Guardians prove they can outscore this powerhouse lineup. At the current price, we have to keep riding Atlanta. Take the Braves. 

3% Play on Braves at -130 or better, 2% at worse than -130 

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick and Prediction

I expect fireworks (excuse the pun) in Arizona when the Mets/Diamondbacks meet. The Mets bats have appeared to awaken over the Weekend scoring 16 Runs in 3 games. Now they look to start a 3 game setrise in Arizona. Kodak Senga will get the start in Arizona in 7 road starts this year his ERA is 4.58 and his WHIP is 1.60. Arizona is not a ballpark that you want to be putting that many people on base. Zach Davies goes for Arizona and in his 6 home starts his ERA is 7.33 and his WHIP is 1.74. We have all the makings of a Slugfest but what seals the deal is the fact that the Mets are 16-4 to the OVER in the first game of a road trip over the L2 Seasons!

TAKE NY METS/ARIZONA OVER 9.5 RUNS 

How to Bet on Baseball for Beginners

Baseball is a great sport to bet on because there are so many different ways to wager. You can bet on the moneyline, the runline, the over/under, futures, player props, and more.

If you’re new to betting on baseball, here are a few things you need to know:

• The moneyline is the simplest type of bet. You simply pick the team you think will win the game. The oddsmakers will set a line for each team, and you’ll have to bet more money on the underdog to win the same amount of money if the favorite wins.
• The runline is a type of bet that takes into account the home field advantage. The favorite will be given a run or two advantage, and the underdog will be given a run or two disadvantage. This means that the favorite has to win by more than the runline in order for your bet to win.
• The over/under is a bet on the total number of runs scored in a game. The oddsmakers will set a line, and you’ll have to bet on whether the total number of runs will be over or under that line.
• Futures are bets on things like who will win the World Series or who will win the MVP award. These bets are typically made before the season starts, and the odds will change as the season progresses.
• Player props are bets on individual players’ performances. You can bet on things like how many home runs a player will hit, how many RBIs they’ll have, or how many strikeouts they’ll record.

Once you understand the different types of bets, you can start to develop your own betting strategy. Here are a few tips:

• Do your research. Before you make any bets, take some time to research the teams and players involved. This will help you make more informed decisions.
• Be selective. Don’t just bet on every game.
• Manage your bankroll. Don’t risk more than you can afford to lose. Start with a small bankroll and gradually increase it as you start to win.

Here are some additional tips for betting on baseball:

• Pay attention to the starting pitchers. The starting pitcher is the most important player on the field, so it’s important to pay attention to who’s pitching when you’re making your bets.
• Consider the weather. Weather can play a big role in baseball games, so it’s important to factor it into your betting decisions.
• Use a betting system. There are a number of different betting systems available, and some of them can be very effective.

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Visit the news section to find daily previews and prop bet picks!  Also, have you ever considered betting on the Korean Baseball League?  It’s exciting – find free KBO Predictions here. 

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games and monitor your NRFI betting picks. 

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Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
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