Padres vs Braves Prediction and Betting Odds April 14
Padres vs Braves Betting Preview
WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Padres vs Braves preview for Thursday, April 14. Atlanta has gotten off to a slow start in the first week of their title defense. Will a trip out to the West Coast help get things on the right track?
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| Thursday, April 14 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | San Diego Padres -105 vs Atlanta Braves -105 (Pick’Em) |
| Runline: | Padres -1.5 (+175) / Braves +1.5 (-200) |
| Total: | 8 Runs (Over EV / Under -120) |
| Game Time: | 8:10pm ET / 5:10pm PT |
| Where: | Petco Park in San Diego |
| Weather: | 64* and Clear with Light Winds Blowing Left to Right. |
Padres vs Braves Analysis
The Atlanta Braves visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres in their home opener for the first of a four-game series. Veteran Charlie Morton takes the mound for the Braves against right-hander Joe Musgrove.
Offense Not the Problem
With most other teams struggling to generate runs, that hasn’t been the issue thus far for Atlanta as the Braves are scoring almost five runs per game through out the first week. Matt Olson has stepped in as the new first baseman replacing Freddie Freeman, and has done pretty well. He has a .391 batting average, scored six runs and walked eight times.
The pitching staff (with the exception of Morton) has been a big disappointment, and their team ERA is 5.14 (27th out of 30 major league teams). The veteran right-hander is coming off a very good 2021 season with a 3.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, threw 185.2 innings with 216 strikeouts and only issued 58 walks.
Morton’s opening start was also solid, as he went 5.1 innings, gave up just two hits, two earned runs, struck out five and issued one free pass in 78 pitches.
Home Opener
San Diego played their first two series on the road and came away with a 4-3 mark. Joe Musgrove had a quality start in his opener versus Arizona April 9. The right-hander went six innings, scattered five hits, struck out eight and gave up only two earned runs.
The Padres’ offense has been middle-of-the-road in terms of OPS and batting average this first week of the season. There’s a couple of encouraging offensive statistics as the team is tied for second in walks, and ninth in on-base Percentage at .326. Although the lineup is stacked with a good number of mashers, they’re showing good patience at the plate and seeing the ball pretty well to start the year.
Padres vs Braves Prediction
Morton and Musgrove are quality starters and two of the best pitchers in the National League. They’ll be at Petco Park, which is considered the 8th most pitcher-friendly ballpark in the major leagues.
Although the Braves are off to a hot start at the plate, Musgrove should be able to keep them in check the first half of the game, and Morton should do the same against the Padres. I don’t see a lot of runs being scored in this game, and I’ll take the first five innings under four runs, which is available at -120 at most shops.
Interested in placing a bet on Thursday’s Padres vs Braves clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for April 14
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. The projected two best teams in the NL Central will see each other for the first time as Milwaukee hosts St Louis in a four-game series this weekend. Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Thursday’s baseball games, including this Padres vs Braves showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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