Rockies vs Phillies Prediction and Betting Odds April 19
Rockies vs Phillies Betting Preview
The Rockies came away with a 4-1 win in the first game of this set yesterday after two runs in each the sixth and seventh innings which included Colorado outfielder Charlie Blackmon’s first home run of the season. WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies betting preview for tonight, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT.
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| Tuesday, April 19 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Colorado Rockies +123 vs Philadelphia Phillies -133 |
| Runline: | Rockies +1.5 (-140) / Phillies -1.5 (+120) |
| Total: | 11 Runs (Over -120 / Under +100) |
| Game Time: | 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT |
| Where: | Coors Field in Denver, CO |
| Weather: | 60 Degrees / Clear |
Rockies vs Phillies Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Colorado Rockies in the second of a three-game set at Coors Field. It’s a battle of the Kyles as right-handed Gibson goes against the southpaw Freeland.
Gibson Looks to Bounce Back
The fightin’ Phils are under .500 to start the year with good stats at the plate – an 9th best OPS of .746 before Monday night’s action – but not-so-good pitching with a 5th-worst team ERA of 5.07.
However, they do have a respectable team WHIP of 1.29. The latter number could lead to a lower ERA going forward and positive regression for the Phils staff. Veteran pitcher Kyle Gibson takes the mound with mixed results in his first two starts.
An excellent opening debut against the A’s, going 7.0 shutout innings, scattering two hits and striking out 10; then followed by a more average game against the Miami Marlins: 4.2 innings, five hits, four earned runs, six strikeouts and three walks.
Phillies hitters have started the year well, as the team’s in the top 10 in both OPS and batting average. Nick Castellanos and Jean Segura lead the team at the plate, as both have OPS numbers above .900.
Granted it’s a small sample size to start the year, but the Phillies resemble the Rockies teams of old who had better-than-average hitting and below-average pitching.
Joe and Cron Turning Heads Around the League
The Rockies have gotten off to a good start with a 7-3 record, and Denver native Kyle Freeland makes his third start on Tuesday night. The lefty’s first two starts have been less-than-stellar, giving up five earned runs apiece to the Dodgers and Cubs.
Team ERA is 12th-best at 3.62, but the Rox hurlers sport a 5th-worst WHIP of 1.41. If it stays at or near this level, this WHIP number could lead to negative regression and more runs given up by the Rockies staff. So far, the bullpen has been able to work its way out of most jams with little to no damage.
The team’s bats are A-OK after the first ten games of the year, with a 3rd-best OPS of .797 and league-leading batting average of .280.
Connor Joe and C.J. Cron are in the top 10 in baseball for OPS, with averages over 1.100, and Joe is in the top 15 in batting average at .361 before Monday night’s game.
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction
During last weekend’s series with the Cubs, we saw higher-scoring games that we’re used to seeing at Coors Field.
Most of the Rockies games this year have seen runs scored against them in the early innings versus the later ones. In the two games versus the Marlins where they gave up 7 and 11 runs, I saw the same trend – more runs given up in the first half versus the second half of the games.
As they say on Wall Street “the trend is your friend,” and I think Gibson and Freeland should continue this trend. That’s why I’ll take the 1st 5 innings over the run total.
Prediction: 1st 5 Innings Over
Interested in placing a bet on Tuesday’s Rockies vs Phillies National League clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for April 19
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. There will be two sets of double header games today after a day full of rain yesterday. How will the Diamondbacks, Nationals, Giants and Mets adjust? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s baseball games, including this Rockies vs Phillies showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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