San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction and Betting Odds June 6
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Betting Preview
WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his San Diego Padres vs New York Mets betting preview for Monday, June 6. The Padres won three of four games over the Brewers this past weekend while the Mets split their 4-game set with the Dodgers.
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| Monday, June 6 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | San Diego Padres -112 vs New York Mets +102 |
| Runline: | Padres -1.5 (+180) / Mets +1.5 (-210) |
| Total: | 7.5 Runs (Over +100 / Under -120) |
| Game Time: | 9:40pm ET / 6:40pm PT |
| Where: | Petco Park in San Diego, CA |
| Weather: | 65 Degrees / Clear |
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Analysis
The New York Mets travel to Petco Park to play the San Diego Padres in the first of a three game series, as right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start against southpaw Blake Snell.
San Diego comes off a seven-game road trip where they got swept three games by the Cardinals, but took three of four from the Brewers in Milwaukee. The Mets split four games with the Dodgers in LA, and are on the second leg of their 10-game southern California roadie.
The Padres are a slight home favorite at -115, the Mets a road dog at +105, the over/under is 7.5 with -115 on the over. All numbers tell a story, and it looks like the Vegas books tell us this game should be a pretty close matchup.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres have started the season well even without their star shortstop, Fernando Tatis, Jr. They have a 33-21 record that’s good for second in the NL West, two games behind the Dodgers, and they’ve been true “road warriors” with a 20-11 record away from Petco Park – but are just 13-10 at home.
The pitching is what’s carried the team so far this year, with a 3rd best staff ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.13. The hitting has slumped badly as San Diego has a 24th best team OPS of .667 and 21st best team average of .233.
And the Friars don’t hit right-handed pitching well as they’re 27th in team OPS at .643 with a .228 batting average. This could be a problem against the veteran right-hander Carrasco.
Starter Blake Snell is in his 7th MLB season, trying to get back in mid-season form after dealing with a minor adductor strain injury back in April. This was after he was recovering from another injury in September 2021.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Carlos Carrasco is in his 13th year in MLB and doesn’t throw as hard as he used to. However, after an injury-plagued 2021 season where he didn’t pitch well, he seems to have turned things around in 2022.
In 10 starts and 57.0 innings the right-hander is 6-1 with a 3.63 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP along with 51 strikeouts – just a shade under one K per inning.
The Mets have the 15th best OPS hitting left-handers at .690, but still have the 3rd best overall OPS in baseball at .743 and MLB’s best team batting average of .264.
The Metropolitans are off to a great start this year with the best record in the NL East and National League at 37-19.
They have the 3rd best OPS in baseball at .743 and a .264 average, and even with injuries to DeGrom and Scherzer, the rest of the staff has picked up the slack with a 7th best ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.19.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction
This should be a good matchup tonight between two of the better teams in the National League. San Diego is playing its first game at home after a seven-game road trip – and winning three of four from the NL Central leading Brewers – while the Mets played well against the Dodgers in Chavez Ravine.
The visitors have a better starting pitcher and more pop at the plate, that’s why I’ll lean to the Mets on the moneyline.
Prediction: New York Mets Moneyline
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Friday, June 6
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
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Meet the Author
Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.
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