Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Betting Odds June 21

Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

WagerTalk MLB analyst Brian Ochsner offers his Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies betting preview for Tuesday, June 21. Both the Rangers and Phillies sit in third place in their respective divisions.

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Tuesday, June 21	MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Moneyline:	Texas Rangers -115 vs Philadelphia Phillies +105
Runline:	Rangers -1.5 (+175) / Phillies +1.5 (-200)
Total:	8 Runs (Over -105 / Under -115)
Game Time:	8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT
Where:	Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX
Weather:	Retractable Roof

Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers in the first of a two game series, with right hander Kyle Gibson (4-2, 4.04 ERA) going against southpaw Martin Perez (4-2, 2.10 ERA).

The Rangers split a four game series with the Tigers in Detroit, while the Phillies won four of five from the Nationals in Washington.Texas is a -115 favorite, the Fightin’ Phils are a +105 underdog and the run total is 8.

The Rangers have a 31-35 record, good for 3rd in the AL West and 10 games behind the Astros; while the Phillies are 36-32, 3rd in the NL East and 8.5 games behind the New York Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The offense has been the secret of the Phillies success, with a 5th best OPS of .740 and a .249 team batting average.

Pitching is in the middle of the pack with a 15th best ERA of 3.90 and a 1.27 WHIP, and their bullpen has a 20th best ERA of 4.22 and a 1.44 WHIP.

Kyle Gibson has pitched fairly well this season, in 23 starts and 71 innings he has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and 62 Ks. The righty has good control and hasn’t given up a lot of home runs or free passes this season.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

Martin Perez has been more than a pleasant surprise for the Texas Rangers this season. In 13 starts and 81.0 innings, he’s put up a 2.10 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and struck out 65.

He’s given up 18 walks and just two home runs, and 10 of his 13 starts have been quality starts – where he’s pitched at least 6.0 innings and given up three earned runs or less.

If he stays healthy, I think he has an outside chance to win the American League Cy Young award, and I wouldn’t be afraid to place a small wager at his current odds of +5000.

The only cause for pause is that Perez has scattered 27 hits in his last three starts and 18.0 innings. However, his advanced analytics look good and there aren’t any big weaknesses in his game.

Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

While the Phillies are a better hitting team as measured by OPS, the Rangers have enough home run power to compete. The Rangers have the edge in starting pitching and the bullpen, plus they’re playing at home. That’s why I’ll lean to the Rangers on the moneyline.

Prediction: Texas Rangers Moneyline

First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Tuesday, June 21

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT as we discuss the baseball betting slate.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s baseball games, including this Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

Brian Ochsner graduated from Kansas State University with degrees in Accounting and Agribusiness. He’s a life-long baseball fan and “numbers guy” who tolerates the Colorado Rockies (bad ownership), and is a Denver Broncos and Kansas State Wildcats fan. Along with his interest in the sports wagering industry, he enjoys eating good BBQ, reading books on marketing, finance and economics, and playing Texas Hold ‘Em poker.

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