Updated NL Cy Young Odds – July 20th
Updated National League Cy Young Odds and Analysis
Sandy Alcantara has a strangle hold on the NL Cy Young race leading the league in ERA at 1.76. The odds say it’s his race to lose. Read updated NL Cy Young odds and analysis by Sportsmemo MLB handicapper JM Sports! Stay up-to-date with the current odds from DraftKings!
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| National League Players | Updated NL Cy Young Odds on July 20th |
|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | -125 |
| Corbin Burnes | +600 |
| Joe Musgrove | +1200 |
| Tony Gonsolin | +1200 |
| Max Fried | +1500 |
| Zach Wheeler | +1800 |
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Sandy Alcantara
Some of the top pitching performances in the first half of the season have come from teams that are playing below average ball.
Miami is currently 4th in the NL East, sitting with a 43-48 record and 14 games behind the Mets in the NL East and they are still 5.5 games behind in the hunt for the wildcard. Meanwhile, Alcantara ranks among the top in nearly all the essential pitching stats this season.
Miami has recorded 12 wins in his 19 starts, and he walked away with a win in the decision in 9 of those games, which ties him for 11th in the MLB. Alcantara has the best ERA in the National League with a 1.76 ERA, which also ranks 2nd in the MLB, behind just Shane McClanahan.
Alcantara has tallied 123 strikeouts on the season which is 8th in the league and his 0.90 WHIP is the 5th best in the league.
He has been more reliable than any other pitchers, with his longevity shown as he has thrown more innings than any other pitcher, throwing 138.1 innings on the season. Alcantara is also tied for the 2nd most quality starts on the season, tallying 15 quality starts this year.
Corbin Burnes
Last year’s reigning National League Cy Young winner, Corbin Burnes, currently ranks 2nd in this season’s National league Cy Young odds at (+600). Burnes has only tallied 7 wins on the season, but the team has still posted a 11-7 record in his 18 starts this season, but the run support behind Burnes has been minimal to say the least.
There is something to be said about a pitcher that ranks in the top 10 in ERA, K/9, Ks, WHIP, IP and quality starts! His 2.14 ERA is the 5th best in the league, and his 0.90 WHIP is the 4th best in the MLB.
There isn’t a pitcher in the National League that has struck out more batters than Corbin Burnes, his 144 strikeouts rank 4th in the majors and his 11.4 K/9 ratio has the identical rankings, placing him 1st in the National League and 4th in the MLB.
Burnes has recorded the 2nd most quality starts in the National League, achieving this feat in 14 of his 18 starts this year. One of the biggest differences between Burnes and Alcantara is the performances of their teams.
Milwaukee has put together a 50-43 record prior to the break, a record that has placed them atop the NL Central, but just 0.5 games ahead of St. Louis.
Joe Musgrove
The next two pitchers on this list are arguably the most essential pitchers on their team, with Joe Musgrove currently ranking 3rd in the NL Cy Young chase at (+1200). He has posted the 2nd best winning percentage among these 7 pitchers in his starts as the Padres have won 12 of his 16 outings on the season.
That in itself is a major reason that the Padres currently sit in 2nd in the NL West, and while they are 10 games back of the Dodgers, their 52-42 record is still impressive and enough to secure the 2nd wildcard spot in this moment.
Musgrove may not excel in the strikeout category like some of the other pitchers on this list, but in 16 starts, he has secured 8 wins (17th most), behind his 2.42 ERA and 0.97 WHIP (8th and 9th respectively in the majors).
He ranks 4th in the majors in quality starts with 14, but the most impressive part about that is the fact that he has only started 16 games this year. Musgrove has walked away with a quality start in nearly 88% of his outings this season!
Tony Gonsolin
Tony Gonsolin is currently tied with Musgrove in the odds at (+1200). Yet as a team, there are few aspects that potentially place these two clubs in a tie.
The Dodgers are currently the best club in the National League and the only team in that league with 60+ wins coming into the All-Star Break, behind their 60-30 record on the season. As I mentioned above, the Dodgers currently sit 10 games ahead of the Padres in the NL West and they look to be the frontrunners heading into the 2nd half of the year.
Gonsolin has been a major piece of the impressive puzzle that is the LA Dodgers this season. There isn’t a pitcher in the league that has more of a positive impact in his outings this season for his team, as the Dodgers have won 14 of his 17 starts on the year.
His 11 wins on the season is the 2nd best in the majors, and he has accomplished that feat in just 93.2 IP. Gonsolin does follow suit with Musgrove in the sense that strikeouts aren’t his forte, but he has shown an uncanny ability to keep runners off the bases and prevent runs from scoring.
He is just 1 of 4 pitchers at this point to possess an ERA under 2.10, posting a 2.02 thus far in the year and his 0.84 WHIP is the 2nd best in the majors this season.
The Dodgers have a flurry of talent on their roster, but it is hard to argue that there is a pitcher on this roster that has been more vital to their success this season than Tony Gonsolin.
Max Fried
If we are talking about a pitcher that is the most valuable to his team, or the most essential piece to the pitching staff and/or roster, then it may be hard to argue against Max Fried.
His +4.3 WAR ranks 2nd among pitchers in the majors, behind just Sandy Alcantara, but that isn’t the only argument to put Max Fried in this debate. Fried ranks in the top 20 amongst pitchers in nearly every category across the board this season.
Fried’s success may not be common knowledge to many fans in the league, but he has helped the Braves secure 14 wins in his 19 starts this season, while also ranking 4th with 10 wins on the season by decision. Fried has accumulated 109 strikeouts thus far which ranks 14th in the league.
Although, his reliability and longevity is an huge factor in his success this season, he has thrown 119.1 IP on the year, the 4th most among pitchers, yet he has kept his ERA to just 2.64 (11th in the MLB) and his WHIP at 1.06 (17th in the league) and has been able to tally 14 quality starts. He has been constantly impressive, through a multitude of innings.
Zach Wheeler
Zack Wheeler comes in ranking 7th at (+1800), and while he currently may be seen as an underdog heading into the 2nd half of the year, he has one of the most impressive stat lines among that National League candidates.
Wheeler ranks in the top 20 in nearly every stat, other than inning pitched, and while 36 pitchers have thrown more than Wheeler’s 99.2 IP, he has still managed to rack up 108 strikeouts, 15th among all pitchers.
Thus resulting in a K/9 of 9.8 strikeouts, putting him 10th in the majors. Wheeler ranks 20th in both ERA (2.89) and WHIP (1.08), assisting in his 11 quality starts and 8 wins (which both rank 17th).
Although he is a pitcher that could definitely benefit from a little more run support this season, even with his impressive numbers, the Phillies are just 9-8 in his 17 starts this year. Capitalizing on some of these starts could be a big difference maker in the result of both the NL Cy Young for Zack Wheeler, and the Philadelphia Phillies closing the gap in the NL East.
They currently sit 8.5 games back of the Mets in the division but they are tied with St. Louis for the 3rd wildcard spot as the hunt for the postseason takes off in the 2nd half.
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