UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Sung Jung Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds August 26

UFC Fight NightBetting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for August 26 with Max Holloway and Chan Sung Jung headlining the event in a featherweight match. The main card starts up at 8:00am ET from Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore.

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Max Holloway vs Chan Sung Jung: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, August 26	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Max Holloway -750 vs Chan Sung Jung +525
Rounds:	2.5 Rounds (Over -215 / Under +165)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 8:00am ET / 5:00am PT
Arena:	Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore
TV:	ESPN+

UFC Fight Night Predictions

Seung Woo Choi -250 v Jarno Errens +190

Choi’s fights are exciting, but he’s lost three in a row, and I’m wondering if his chin is gone. He loves to stand toe to toe with his opponent and exchange shots, but he doesn’t block many of his opponent’s shots, and in his last fight, he couldn’t even make it through the first round without being knocked down several times, and then eventually finish.

However, Errens may not be the guy to land the big shot to Choi. His last fight was his UFC debut against Gomis, and Gomis was able to take him down several times and control the ground game and Errens showed very little on the feet in the striking department.

Choi will force Errens to stand and strike, and if Errens can clip the chin of Choi, he could easily finish, but I don’t think he has that kind of power. I’ll predict Choi to win, but there’s no chance I’m laying -250 on him.

Na Liang +475 v JJ Aldrich -700

This fight shouldn’t be close. Liang is not a UFC caliber fighter, and she’s 0-2 in the UFC getting finished in both to not great competition.

Aldrich has lost two in a row to Blanchfield, and Lipski after winning three straight in the UFC, and this is a great get right spot for her. Take Aldrich to win inside the distance and use it as a parlay piece.

Yusaku Kinoshita -165 v Billy Goff +135

Two Contender Series winners face off here, and I expect it to be a war on the feet. Kinoshita likes to stand and bang as he showed on Contender Series and in his UFC debut against Adam Fugitt, but Fugitt exposed Kinoshita’s lack of wrestling defense, and he showed that Kinoshita leaves himself open to strikes on the feet.

Goff resembles Kinoshita in that he loves to stand and bang, and he has holes in his striking defense, but he is a decent wrestler, and I think he can utilize that against Kinoshita.

Goff is really tough and showed on Contender Series he can eat a big shot and recover quickly, but Kinoshita is better than his opponent.

I do worry about the cardio of Goff so I’ll lean Kinoshita in this one, but I’m not confident enough to make a bet on this fight.

Kenan Song +200 v Rolando Bedoya -250

Bedoya looked great in his UFC debut as he almost beat Khaos Williams in a fight he took on short notice. He wasn’t scared of the moment and looked fantastic on his feet with his striking.

He showed good cardio and good movement on the feet, and he’ll get a full camp to fight Song who has lost two straight, and he leaves his face so wide open on the feet that he gets pieced up by accurate strikers. He is a decent counter striker, but over three rounds he just takes too much damage.

He has four wins in the UFC, but all those opponents are no longer in the UFC, and he’s lost to the three good opponents he’s faced. I’ll side with Bedoya to win, but I like overs in this fight.

Take it to start round two or over 1.5 rounds as a parlay piece as Bedoya showed good striking defense against Khaos so I don’t think he eats a big shot from Song, but Bedoya didn’t show much power against Williams so I’m not sure he gets the early finish either.

Chidi Njokuani +100 v Michal Oleksiejczuk -120

Tough fight to predict as I don’t know what we’re going to get from Chidi. Two fights ago, Chidi did incredible damage to Gregory Rodrigues, but he tired himself trying to get the finish, and he ended up getting finished by Rodrigues.

His next fight was against Albert Duraev and looked tentative. I’m not sure if he was trying to manage his cardio, or if he had a bad weight cut, but his strikes didn’t have much pop on them, and it cost him as he lost a split decision.

Oleksiejczuk is a striker who should have success on the feet against Chidi, and if Chidi fights as tentative as he did last fight, Michal will win by decision.

I just don’t know if we’re going to get the aggressive Chidi or the tentative Chidi. This fight is a stay away for me.

Toshiomi Kazama +145 v Garrett Armfield -175

Kazama likes to wrestle, but in his UFC debut, Nakamura came out of the gates fast on the feet and knocked out Kazama in 33 seconds.

Kazama will probably want this fight to take place on the ground, but Armfield held his own against David Onama in his UFC debut, a fight he took on short notice.

Armfield isn’t a great striker, but he should be better than Kazama and if he can force Kazama into a striking battle, Armfield should have the advantage. Kazama has utilized his wrestling against lesser competition, and I really don’t know if it will work against Armfield.

The way to bet this fight in my opinion is to take the fight to go the distance or under 2.5 rounds. Neither guy impresses me with their striking, and the wrestling should be fairly close. I just don’t see who finishes who in this fight, I think it goes the distance.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta -290 v Lukasz Brezski +235

Brezski has had a rough start to his UFC career as he won on Contender Series, and then failed a drug test. He then lost to Martin Buday in a split decision in his debut, and then got outwrestled for three rounds in a loss to Karl Williams.

His cardio was bad in that fight, but Williams is a wrestler who can test anyone’s cardio over three rounds, and Waldo Cortes-Acosta is a low volume fighter who will not test the cardio of Brzeski.

Acosta won his first two fights against Vanderaa and Sherman, but in his last fight Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled the action on the mat and on the feet.

Brezski shouldn’t have to worry about the wrestling from Waldo like he did against Karl Williams, but he also won’t have to worry about the cardio issues as Cortes-Acosta is not a fast paced fighter.

If you’re looking for an underdog on this card, Brzeski is worth a sprinkle as this fight should be close on the feet.

Junior Tafa -120 v Parker Porter +100

Believe it or not, Parker Porter is 4-2 in his last six UFC fights, and I like him to make it 5-2. Junior Tafa has power on the feet, there’s no doubt, but in his UFC debut he showed he has a massive hole in his game and that’s the clinch and takedown.

Mohammed Usman won a unanimous decision by making it a boring fight against the cage and on the ground, but he got the win, and I think Porter does the exact same thing in this fight.

Porter won’t want to stand and bang, and as a bit of extra motivation for him to not want to exchange punches with Junior, Porter got knocked out by older brother, Justin Tafa two fights ago.

Getting KO’d by brothers would be a lowlight in Porter’s career, I expect him to take the path of least resistance and clinch and take Tafa down.

Erin Blanchfield -150 v Taila Santos +125

Blanchfield looks like she’s on a mission toward a title shot, and I don’t want to bet against her. Her game has evolved so much over her short time in the UFC, and she’s finished her last three opponents with submissions.

Santos is coming off a close loss to Valentina Shevchenko, but the worst part about that fight was the damage to her face which required surgery to the orbital bone.

That is a serious injury in the UFC, and once damaged, orbital areas are easy to damage up (see Rob Font). Santos took the Shevchenko fight on short notice, but Shevchenko was hurt going into the fight and did not look like her usual self, and was still able to defeat Santos.

The speed on the feet from Santos will be her big advantage, but Blanchfield has fought twice since Santos’s last fight so I have to believe she’s in better fight shape, and I expect her to implement the takedown game and work Santos hard on the ground.

Santos has a decent ground game as we saw against Shevchenko, but Blanchfield is next level, and very active on the ground hunting for submissions. It’s a fair price on Blanchfield at -150, I think she wins with the ground game.

Rinya Nakamura -750 v Fernie Garcia +500

The odds say this fight won’t be close, and I agree. Get to know the name Rinya Nakamura as he’ll be in the UFC for a while.

Nakamura is an elite wrestler, and he showed his striking on the Road To The UFC finale when he knocked out Kazama 33 seconds into the fight.

UFC is clearly setting up with a great matchup to get a highlight reel finish against Garcia who is 0-2 in the UFC and has no upside.

Nakamura can win this fight anywhere as long as he doesn’t get too excited at first and blow his gas tank in the first round, but he could absolutely win this in the first round as five out of his seven wins are first-round finishes. The price is too high, wait until props come out and take Nakamura inside the distance as a parlay piece.

Giga Chikadze -225 v Alex Caceres +195

Giga hasn’t fought in a year and a half, and I’m surprised he’s this big of a favorite. He needed five surgeries after his last fight against Calvin Kattar, but he says he’s been ready for a year to fight.

Giga is a great kickboxer with powerful leg kicks and strikes, and even though he got beat up against Kattar, he was having lots of success early before Kattar took over. Caceres is a long striker that has solid kicks and strikes, and a decent ground game, but his level of competition has not been impressive.

He won a decision against Daniel Pineda and had a first-round KO with a sweet kick against Julian Erosa, but a healthy Giga is so much better than anyone he’s fought.

Giga says he’s been ready for a while, and based on social media and reports he’s been working very hard to be ready for his return.

The time off should be more than enough for Giga to be 100%, and he should be too much for Caceres in this one. Giga is the play here.

Anthony Smith +125 v Ryan Spann -150

I’m not sure why we needed this rematch, but here we are. Smith submitted Spann in their first matchup, and in Spann’s last fight, he got submitted as well with a choke on the ground by Nikita Krylov.

Clearly, that will be the route Smith will try and take in this matchup as Spann has knockout power on the feet. Part of me wonders if this is Anthony Smith’s retirement fight.

He’s great in front of the camera and he’ll have a long career in MMA media if he wants, and he’s 35 years old with 44 pro fights under his belt.

That’s a lot of wear and tear, and against Johnny Walker in his last fight, he just didn’t look fast. If Smith can’t get this to the ground, I believe Spann takes it on the feet like Johnny Walker did to Smith. The price is fair, I’ll roll with Spann.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Max Holloway -750 v Chan Sung Jung +525

All accounts point to this being the Korean Zombie’s retirement fight, and it’s going to be quite the send-off. I really don’t know how he competes with Holloway in this one.

Max is going to be lightning-quick with his boxing in this fight and the 36-year-old has never been known for being elusive. He’s 36 years old and Holloway is a master at striking who has only lost to Dustin Porier and Alexander Volkanovski in the last nine years.

There’s no need to overthink who wins this one as it’s Max who will come out victorious, but I think this fight goes a while.

Zombie was finished by Volkanovski, but not until round four, and his only other finish in the last decade was to Yair Rodriguez with one second left in the fight.

Taking this fight to go the distance isn’t a bad bet as Holloway’s last four wins have all been by decision. You can even wait til the props come out later this week and play Max to win by decision.

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