UFC Fight Night: Yan vs Figueiredo Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds November 23

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for November 23 with the main event headlined by Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo in a bantamweight fight. The main card starts up at 6:00am ET from Galaxy Arena in Cotai, Macau.

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Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, November 23	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Petr Yan -300 vs Deiveson Figueiredo +240
Rounds:	4.5 (Over -165 / Under +130)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 6:00am ET / 3:00am PT
Arena:	Galaxy Arena in Cotai, Macau
TV:	ESPN+

UFC Fight Night Predictions

Mahashate Hayisaer -198 vs Nikolas Motta +164

I’m not a big fan of Mahashate so I’ll take Motta at plus money here. Mahasahte is a striker, and while he’s getting better I just don’t see great defense from him, and his striking can be slow at times.

He barely beat Benitez in a split decision last fight, and he had lost two in a row before that, and I think his style is predictable and easy to game plan for, and Motta has pretty decent striking, and I like his counter punches.

He knocked out Tom Dolan with his counters in his last fight, and if Mahashate leaves himself open, Motta will have success.

Quang Le -120 vs Xiao Long -110

Not a strong opinion on this fight, but I’ll take Le as I think his ground game is a bit better, and Xiao doesn’t seem to have big upside.

Neither of these guys are great, and the striking will be sloppy, but Le has some actual takedown offense, and while Long can clinch, he just doesn’t do much with it, and I think Le will be able to win those exchanges when they get in close. I like this fight to go the distance.

Lone’er Kavanagh -350 vs Jose Ochoa +275

I thought Kavanagh looked like the best fighter to come out of Contender Series this season, and I think he’ll start his UFC career off with a win here.

He doesn’t have a weakness that I can see, he just needs UFC experience, and I think his striking will be the difference here as he has really good power, and his movement on the feet allows him to get good angles for his strikes.

He has good kicks as well, but I don’t think this is a walk in the park fight. Ochoa has solid weapons, and a good submission game, but I don’t think he’ll be able to get to the neck to get the finish, and although he has a lot of KO finishes, I think Kavanagh is just too fast to get hit. Kavanagh is the pick here.

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Bin Xie -118 vs Kangjie Zhu -102

I think Xie has more upside so I’ll pick him to win here, but it’s not a fight I’m going to bet on. These guys have big holes in their game like Xie’s awful strike defense, and Zhu’s sub-par wrestling and clinch game.

Xie has a long reach, and I expect him to get the jab working which should open up his power shots, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Zhu has success with the striking as well. These are two guys I don’t want to bet on so I’ll pass.

Su Young You -143 vs Balgyn Jenisuly +116

I’ll take this fight to go the distance, I don’t care who wins. You has decent punching, but I think Jenisuly is going to be able to stay away from it by clinching and wrestling, and Yoo has the ability to do that as well so I think this fight is a bit of a stalemate.

They both have solid cardio, and 3 out of their 4 Road To UFC fights have gone the distance. No strong opinion on the side, but I like this fight to go all 3 rounds.

Carlos Hernandez -192 vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel +160

This fight will probably be wild as Tumendemberel throws wild punches with a ton of power behind it, and if he lands he can bloody up his opponent bad.

His striking is a bit too out of control for my liking, and while it’s worked against Road To UFC opponents, Carlos Hernandez is a UFC veteran, and although his record isn’t great, he’s losing to wrestlers and ground game specialists.

Tumendemberel has some wrestling, but I think Hernandez is better in that department, and I’ve seen Tumendemberel get tired after some of his big striking flurries. I’ll take Hernandez to win, but it’s not a super confident bet.

Xiaocan Feng -310 vs Ming Shi +250

The length of Feng is going to give her the win as her arms and legs are insanely long, and she throws good kicks and punches to keep the distance from opponents, and Shi is going to struggle mightily to get inside.

Shi is a decent fighter, but her striking isn’t powerful enough or quick enough to damage Feng. Feng will probably land early, and that will get Shi nervous about lunging in, which she’ll have to do to land anything. Feng should roll in this one.

Doon Hoon Choi -140 vs Kiru Sahota +114

These Road To UFC fights just scream “Fight Goes The Distance”, and that’s what I’ll take in this one again.

All 4 of these guys’s Road To UFC fights have gone the distance, and I see this one with a similar outcome. Sahota has long legs and good kicks, but Choi is durable and moves pretty good so I don’t think Sahota will land clean, and even if he does land clean I don’t think he can get the KO.

Choi has won his 2 Road To UFC fights by split decision so he’s playing with fire in these fights, and I’m not sold that he won the last fight. I don’t see upside in him, taking the fight to go the distance is how I’m playing this.

Zhang Mingyang -298 vs Ozzy Diaz +240

Two heavy power punchers here so don’t blink. Diaz got KO’d on Contender Series by Joe Pyfer, but took 2 fights in LFZ and finished both of them by knockout, and Mingyang has never been to decision, all of his losses are when he was 21 years or younger.

He’s 26 years old, has grown in to his manbody, and his strikes are scary strong. His striking defense needs work, but I’m not sure Diaz is that guy to take advantage.

He leaves his hands down quite a bit, and his last 2 knockouts were when his opponents got tired, and I though he was losing the fights up until that point.

This feels like a showcase fight for Mingyang in front of his home country crowd, he’s the pick by KO.

Carlos Ulberg -250 vs Volkan Oezdemir +205

When looking at this fight, I’m just trying to figure out what to make of Oezdemir’s last 2 wins. He submitted Guskov in Guskov’s debut, and Guskov has no ground game, and he knocked out Johnny Walker, but Walker is a chiny as it gets in the UFC right now.

Before that he lost to Prochazka, Ankalaev and Krylov, and had a win over Paul Craig mixed in so he’s beating the guys he should, but losing to the higher celing guys.

Ulberg is on a tear as he’s won 6 straight, and his striking is insanely sharp and powerful, and he’s getting better each fight.

I don’t think Oezdemir will want to stand and bang with Ulberg so maybe he tries to wrestle and get a submission, but I think Ulberg is special and I’m sure he’s been working on the takedown defense.

Ulberg just needs to land one punch to get the KO or change the fight completely, and now that we’re back to the old gloves, I think he can do it. I’ll take Ulberg to win again.

Cong Wang -850 vs Gabriella Fernandes +575

This price is crazy, but I get it. Wang is insanely good, and she can do it all in the octagon, and while I think she wins I won’t be putting her in parlays.

She has good activity, and she can wrestle a bit, and her two UFC losses are to Jasaduvicius and Bleda, 2 wrestlers and I don’t think Wang is that polished as a wrestler.

In her UFC debut, she knocked out Leonardo in a minute, and I would’ve liked to have seen more of her in that fight as she only has 6 professional fights.

Fernandes showed decent cardio in her last fight, and I wonder if Wang will be able to show the same cardio that Fernandes will have.

Wang should win with her striking, but this is the best striker that Wang has faced so I won’t be surprised if Fernandes has a few solid moments in this fight. Wang is the pick, but not at -850.

Muslim Salikhov -180 vs Kenan Song +150

I love fading old fighters, but the older fighter here is Salikhov, and I think he wins here. Song beat Ricky Glenn in his last fight, who isn’t a full time fighter, and is awful, and Song was exhausted in the second round, and barelly squeaked by.

He isn’t good at wrestling, and his striking is effective for about half the fight, then he falls off a cliff. Salikhov had lost 2 in a row, but I thought he looked in much beetter shape in his last fight, and it resulted in a nice win for him, and what was surprising was that his cardio looked solid in the third round.

He has a much better wrestling game, and even though he’s 40 years old, I think he’s the clear favorite here. Song was pretty bad in a fight that was just a few months ago, I don’t see him getting a lot better so I’ll take Salikhov.

Xiaonan Yan -198 vs Tabatha Ricci +164

I love Yan’s power, and if she just lands a couple of strong shots early in the fight, she’ll slow down Ricci’s forward pressure and pace, but that what scares me about this fight for Yan.

Ricci’s pace is really quick, and she doesn’t stop coming forward, and she can win these close rounds just with her activity.

Yan should have the bigger moments as she knocked down Zhang several times in her last fight that she lost, but Weili is next level with her wrestling and ground game.

I won’t over think this one, and I’ll take Yan to win, but I won’t be surprised if Ricci makes a couple of these rounds pretty close.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Petr Yan -298 vs Deiveson Figueiredo +240

I really like Yan here, and the biggest reason is that it’s a 5 round fight. If it was 3 rounds, I might be a bit hesitant, but the pressure that Yan can put on after the first round is going to be too much for Figueiredo.

Yan starts slow, but then he picks up the pace and I haven’t seen much pace from Figueiredo in his last few fights.

He’s been through some wars in his career, and with the new move up to bantamweight, he’s just not landing enough strikes for my liking.

Compare each of their last fights, both that went the distance. Figueiredo landed 45 strikes in a boring fight against Marlon Vera, and Yan landed 99 in a war against Song.

Figueiredo will have some decent power, and he’ll want to wrestle, but Yan is great on the ground, and he can actually tire out Figueiredo with his scrambles.

Yan’s strikes have good enough power to damage opponents, and once this gets to rounds 4 and 5 I expect Yan to be hitting his groove, and Figueiredo to be getting tired. Look for Yan to start off round 1 a bit slow, but then pick up the pace and outlast Figueiredo.

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