Best NBA Parlays Tonight | Friday, March 29th
There is a loaded 12-game night in the Association tonight, and there is a ton of room to find value on the board. The matchups tonight feature some exciting matchups, and we should be in for an epic night of basketball. Let’s take a look at the best NBA parlays tonight and the best NBA same-game parlay to bet on tonight.
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Best NBA Parlays Tonight
Our best NBA parlays tonight start with a points parlay. Here is a breakdown of the three legs we chose.
Mixed Parlay – Best NBA Parlays Tonight:
Kevin Durant (PHX) Over 25.5 Points
Projecting: 27 Points
Yes, this bet is narrative-based, but it’s also numbers-based. Kevin Durant is headed back to where it all started, and the last time he was in Oklahoma City, he dropped 34 points on them last season. This Thunder team is one of the best in the NBA, but Kevin Durant is one of the best scorers in the NBA. He has cleared this number in 68% of games this season. He has only gone over in five of his last ten, but that’s where the narrative comes into play. Durant, one of the best scorers in NBA history, undoubtedly would like to put on a show in front of the team that drafted him in what should be a highly competitive game. This number is too low, per our projections.
Scoot Henderson (POR) Under 19.5 Points
Projecting: 16.5 Points
Scoot Henderson’s NBA career is not off to a flying start. He’s a guard shooting 38% from the field and 29.9% from deep. Henderson has cleared this number in only 15% of games this season, two of his last ten, and 4% of road games. Over their last seven games, Miami has only allowed 20.19 points per game to point guards, which is the 6th best in the NBA. Outside of Miami blowing out the Blazers and Henderson, who averages 27 minutes per game on the road, playing a majority of garbage time, our projections show a lot of value on the under.
Paul George (LAC) Over 21.5 Points
Projecting: 23 Points
Paul George has cleared this number in 61% of games this season, and despite having a tough matchup tonight, we expect him to go over this low number. He’s gone over this number in nine of his last ten games, and he is averaging four three points made on eight attempts over that stretch. The Clippers have been off, and the Magic have one of the best defenses in the NBA, but this number is too low for a scorer of George’s caliber.
Best NBA Parlays Tonight – Same Game Parlay
T-Wolves at Nuggets (+396)
These two teams play at a slower pace, so we are targeting unders and rebounds in this matchup for a same-game parlay. This gives us a great look for one of the best NBA parlays tonight.
Aaron Gordon (DEN) Over 8+ Rebounds
Projecting: 7.5 Rebounds
Aaron Gordon has cleared his traditional rebound number in 59% of games this season, but we are going for an alt-line in this tough matchup. The T-Wolves are 3rd in the NBA in rebounds allowed, and they do a great job sweeping the glass. Still, Gordon has cleared this number in the last matchup against the Wolves. In the month of March, without Karl-Anthony Towns, the T-Wolves are down to 18th in rebounding percentage, so Gordon should be able to take advantage and clear this number tonight at plus money.
Michael Porter Jr. (DEN) Under 17.5 Points
Projecting: 16.5 Points
Michael Porter has cleared this number in 53% of games this season, but this is a tough matchup for him. In his last two home games against the T-Wolves, Porter Jr. fell short of this number. The Wolves are the No. 1 scoring defense in the NBA, and Porter’s usage rate stats vary big time from night to night. In what should be a competitive game, Porter should not be getting the ball down the stretch, and we are projecting him to go under this number tonight.
The GoldSheet team has just introduced a new product called GoldSheet Lite to help you handicap the NBA, NCAAB and MLB slate each day. GoldSheet Lite is priced between $5-10 each day and features stats, analysis and recommended wagers to help you enjoy a full day of wagering. Use promo code GSLITE50 to take 50-percent off your first GoldSheet Lite issue.
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