Celtics vs Nuggets Predictions and Betting Preview Feb 11
Celtics vs Nuggets Predictions and Odds
WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his Celtics vs Nuggets predictions and betting preview for Friday, February 11. At the time of posting, Boston has opened as a 5-point home favorite over the visitors from Denver, with the total sitting at 217 points.
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| Friday, February 11 | NBA Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Point Spread: | Boston Celtics -5 vs Denver Nuggets |
| Total: | 217 Points |
| Game Time: | 7:40pm ET / 4:40pm PT |
| Arena: | TD Garden in Boston, MA |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Celtics vs Nuggets Analysis
The Nuggets travel to Boston as +5 underdogs with a total of 217 to take on the Celtics who have won eight out of nine.
Denver is coming off of two straight wins looking to make it three, but we’re more concerned how we can make money off this game so let’s take at look at the numbers and see what jumps out from a better perspective.
Boston Beating Who’s On Their Schedule
Boston is doing exactly what they should be doing, and that’s taking care of business against the bad teams. Their last eight wins have come against awful opponents in Brooklyn, Orlando, Detroit, Charlotte, Miami (No Butler), New Orleans (No Ingram), Sacramento and Washington.
However, squeezed in there is a game against playoff Atlanta and they lost by 10. They’re 6-4 against the spread their last 10 games, and they’re 3-7 to the under their last 10 games.
Their defense has been good, but tonight will be a big step up in challenge for them as Denver has scored 124 and 132 their last two games. Boston ranks near the top in guarding centers, and Horford and Williams will have their hands full against a rested Jokic.
Tatum and Brown should have good games once again, especially Brown as he and Smart should be able to have success against Barton and Hyland on the perimeter.
Nuggets Back on Track
After losing three straight to Western Conference teams the Nuggets got two straight wins against the Big Apple teams to restore their confidence.
Monte Morris will be out tonight leaving Bones Hyland to start for him which is a downgrade on defense so they’ll have to help him out with Smart and Brown.
Denver is 4-1 against the spread their last five road games, and something to keep our eye on is that Denver is quick to rest Jokic at the end of the game if it’s out of reach one way or the other.
The Nuggets have covered their last five wins, and not covered their two most recent losses so if they are up or down and it’s close to a blowout look for the subs to come in.
Celtics vs Nuggets Prediction
I think there will be a lot of points in this game. Boston ranks high in defense against Centers, but the last time they played a great center Embiid had 25-16-4 and they lost to Philly 111-99 in that game.
Jokic should get his despite Horford and Williams being in the game, I just don’t think they can keep up and Tatum and Brown have good matchups on the other side. Both teams are fully rested, they’ve each put up 116 or more in their last two games, I expect this game to get to the 220’s.
Prediction: Over 217
Celtics vs Nuggets Preview from GoldSheet
Boston comes into this one on a 6-game winning streak and have had a few days to acquaint just-acquired backup C Daniel Theis and G Derrick White into the mix.
The Celtics are completely healthy, with all-star F Jayson Tatum and snubbed non-all-star G Jaylen Brown combining for 50 ppg, 15 rebs. and shooting 48.4% in their last 10 games.
Boston is one of the few teams in the league with no real injuries, as the Covid cases are waning in the Association. Denver is 2-3 straight up in its last five, while Boston leads the league in net differential and defensive efficiency over the past 13 games as well as ranking 3rd in rebounding percentage in that span.
The Celtics have covered four straight in this series (three consecutive straight up wins as well), with the last five going “under” the totals. Celtic defense has helped Ime Udoka’s crew push the ”under” in nine of last 12 games, as Boston has allowed just 94 ppg and 39% FGs in its past 10 games.
Obviously, Nugget pivot Nikola Jokic is a load right now (26 ppg, 12.4 rpg and 10 apg over his last 14 games), but that’s where having the bullish Theis back in a Celtic uniform (he played his first 3½ seasons in Beantown) could be crucial.
Friday’s #NBA Notes:
🏀If it holds ’til tip-off, tonight’s Bulls vs T-Wolves total (241) would be the highest of the season.
🏀The last five Celtics vs Nuggets games have stayed under the total.
🏀Charlotte has won its last 14 meetings with Detroit.
➡️https://t.co/RHOuvHZvdC pic.twitter.com/NlUb988V8D— GoldSheet (@thegoldsheet) February 11, 2022
NBA Stat Sheet
Each day, WagerTalk handicapper Ralph Michaels puts together his NBA Stat Sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Friday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Celtics vs Nuggets contest.
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