Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Odds: Nov 10

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks betting preview for Wednesday, November 10. At the time of posting, the Bulls have opened as a 3.5-point home favorite over Dallas with the total sitting at 212.5 points.

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Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions

• Chicago Bulls -3.5 vs Dallas Mavericks
• Total: 212.5 Points
• The under is 7-1-2 in Dallas’ first ten games this season.

Wednesday nights matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Chicago Bulls is a relatively evenly matchup between two 7-3 teams. Dallas has won their last 3 games as well as 4 of their last 5, however are only .500 on the road going 2-2. Meanwhile Chicago has won 3 of their last 5 games with two losses against a potent Philadelphia 76ers team while posting an impressive 4-2 record at home. Last season the Bulls won both head-to-head matchups convincingly with similar scores of 118-108 and 117-101. The Mavs were without superstar Luka Doncic in one of these games while otherwise having a very similar lineup that they will showcase on Wednesday night. However the Bulls roster is quite different and much improved now with the additions of Demar Derozan, Nikola Vucevic and Lonzo Ball.

After splitting the first two games of a three game homestand the Chicago Bulls are well aware of how important it is to get a victory against Dallas before heading out on a west coast road trip. The next time the Bulls face a team that didn’t at least make the play-in tournament last year is November 24th at the Houston Rockets. The west coast swing includes trips to Golden State, Portland, Denver and both the Los Angeles Lakers and Clippers, then back home for matchups with the Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks.

“You play the teams that are on your schedule”, Zach Lavine said of this brutal portion of the schedule. “You want to be playing these teams later in the season, it’s a challenge to see where we are as a group. I look forward to playing these teams and I think this is the mentality you have to have.”

Chicago has some very impressive teams statistics as the offense ranks 7th in the league in points per 100 possessions, even while they are finding their way. They also have a 4th ranked defense, combining for a net rating of +6.9 which is good for 5th in the NBA. The Bulls have notched quality wins over the Boston Celtics, Utah Jazz and Brooklyn Nets early on, while holding the latter two high-powered offenses under 100 points. Demar Derozan has made it so Zach Lavine doesn’t need to have a monster game on a nightly basis, Nikola Vucevic has found a role as a rebounder and facilitator while struggling to score and Lonzo Ball is becoming the straw that stirs the drink.

The Dallas Mavericks are off to a strong start under new head coach Jason Kidd, their 7-3 record is good for a 2nd place tie in the Western Conference. However the Mavs are still trying find a rhythm despite their good record and are just finally adding big man Kristaps Porzingis to the mix. Dallas needed a Luka buzzer-beater to defeat the Boston Celtics and struggled early before putting on a nice run to defeat the leagues worst team the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Mavs’ record is far superior to how they have performed offensively as they are a bottom ten offense with an admittedly small sample size. Dallas is just simply not making shots as 4 of their top 6 scorers are shooting below 40%. It all starts with Luka Doncic who seems to be experiencing a learning curve when it comes to the new rule changes as Kidds offense seems to have some basic spacing issues. Luka Doncic came into this season as a favorite for the MVP award, however is averaging just 24.9 points, 8 rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game, which are low numbers by his standards. He’s struggling to shoot the ball with at 44.2% from the field while shooting a career low 29.5% from beyond the arc.

Mavs superstar Luka Doncic is still adjusting to Jason Kidd’s new system and will eventually get his scoring back, however he will have to be significantly more aggressive offensively if he hopes to win in Chicago on Wednesday night. The Bulls have many more scoring options and while the Mavs have won three in a row the Bulls still have more momentum after beating an imposing team in the Brooklyn Nets. Chicago knows how important it is to get a win here before heading out on a long and grueling west coast road trip. After all the Bulls have faired much better at home while the Mavs are a .500 team on the road. If the game is close down the stretch I like the Bulls chances based on them having multiple scoring options and their dominant 42-17 4th quarter performance in their last game against the Brooklyn Nets. The early line on this game is Chicago Bulls -3.5, which is a line I’m more than comfortable backing based on prior matchups and the scheduling situation.

Official Play: Chicago Bulls -3.5

Got this text from @StevesBook22 last night. Result ended up being a 5% win on the Jazz. Fantastic call and write up by him, loved his conviction on this play. I see a lot of you got this play, thank you and congrats. Buckle up for tomorrow…LOADED card for NBA props! pic.twitter.com/IvVbrq73Vl

— Andy Lang (@BumpSports) November 10, 2021

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Analysis from The GoldSheet

We’re compelled to look through this current Dallas three-game uptick and conclude that it is not much of a buy signal, with narrow wins (and spread losses) to the Spurs and thus-far-underwhelming Celtics, before cruising past the troubled Pelicans on Monday. No matter the current 7-3 mark, the Mavs still don’t seem like they have shifted gears for new HC Jason Kidd; their first six wins were by a grand total of 33 points (before upping that number in the New Orleans win), and their spread mark is only 3-7 ATS. True, Kristaps Porzingis returned from a back injury on the weekend, but he had played in earlier games, and the Mavs are one of many teams whose offensive numbers are down this season, off almost 15 points per 100 possessions. As long as the Bulls aren’t playing the Sixers, they’re doing pretty well, dropping just one other game (a one-point loss vs. the Knicks) to date, and they’ve had some breathtaking surges in recent wins, like the 51-18 run that turned the Boston game inside-out last week and closing Monday’s win over the Nets on a 42-17 run in the fourth quarter. Though both 7-3, by us, at least, the eye test suggests Chicago should be laying more than the early posted price of -3.5. Play Chicago.

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